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published helmet research - not troll
LioNiNoiL_a t_Ne t s c a pE_D 0 T_Ne T wrote:
The Effect of Bicycle Helmet Legislation on Bicycling Fatalities - Grant and Rutner. Their statistics are sound, and their calculation of a 15% reduction in the juvenile bicycling fatality rate during the helmet-law era appears to be accurate, although virtually indistinguishable from the already-existing downward trend since 1975, represented by the blue line in their data graph: http://img22.imageshack.us/img22/9715/graph.gif Yes - if helmets were having a significant effect, that graph should show a significant drop in juvenile fatalities, over and above the prevailing trend, from 1991 to 1997, when (as they show) the helmet laws became fashionable. Incidentally, there are several sources on the web which plot cylist fatalities and pedestrian fatalities over the decades. Despite the increase in helmet use, the plots are stubbornly parallel... with, of course, a certain amount of random variation superimposed. It seems clear that a) the emergency medical people have gotten gradually better at their job (probably in large part due to technology), and b) helmets aren't making a significant difference in cyclists' fatalities. If they were, the cyclist plot would drop relative to the ped. plot. -- --------------------+ Frank Krygowski [To reply, remove rodent and vegetable dot com, replace with cc.ysu dot edu] |
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