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I have a feeling...
....that Ullrich is going up the road in stage 14.
Discovery still stuck on the launch pad. |
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Stewart Fleming wrote: ...that Ullrich is going up the road in stage 14. Discovery still stuck on the launch pad. I'd love to think that could happen, but I'm not sure he has it in him at this point. They let Vino go early, but I don't think they'll ever let Jan go even if he is beaten up from the crashes. I've resigned myself to another Lance win. The only way I can see for that not to happen would be illness, or a bad crash. I would really hate to see anything like that happen so what is, is. Bill C |
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Stewart Fleming a =E9crit : ...that Ullrich is going up the road in stage 14. Discovery still stuck on the launch pad. If he ever really gets dropped by Ullrich, all Armstrong has to do is crash=20 and Ullrich will fall apart. -ilan |
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On Sat, 16 Jul 2005 09:18:58 +1200, Stewart Fleming
wrote: ...that Ullrich is going up the road in stage 14. Didn't he try that at one point in the Alps last year ? It seemed like everyone else collaborated to catch him. |
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"Bill C" wrote in
ups.com: Stewart Fleming wrote: ...that Ullrich is going up the road in stage 14. Discovery still stuck on the launch pad. I'd love to think that could happen, but I'm not sure he has it in him at this point. They let Vino go early, but I don't think they'll ever let Jan go even if he is beaten up from the crashes. I've resigned myself to another Lance win. The only way I can see for that not to happen would be illness, or a bad crash. I would really hate to see anything like that happen so what is, is. Bill C I agree, I think Jan is not in top form, so it won't happen. However, even if he were, I think that T-mobile's best strategy is now to admit that Armstrong is likely to win and shoot for places in the podium. That entails them being wheel-suckers, not attackers, in the Pyrennees. If Armstrong and crew decided to take up the road and they can't keep, they should hold behind Rasmussen, Basso, Botero, Moureau, Mancebo, and Leipheimer. If they hold on to their positions relative to these into the final ITT, then a Ullrich in reasonably good condition could very likely vault from 8th to all the way up to 3rd place, very possibly even 2nd. Overcoming the 3:30-ish gap between him and Rasmussen is not out of the question, and the other gaps, less than 1:30, even though admittedly to better TT'ers, could be overcome. It's also possible that Kloeden or Vino could follow Jan into a place on the podium at 3rd. Conversely, the strategy of Basso, Moureau, even Rasmussen (if he wants a place on the podium) should be to attack in the Pyrennees--maybe not with the hope of besting Armstrong, but knowing that this will force Armstrong and the disco boys to follow, and in the process hope that the T-mobile boys all get left behind. Anyone else care to comment? |
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Bob Schwartz wrote: Historically he's done better in the Pyrenees than the Alps. But I still think you're on crack. That's the second time inside a week that someone in this newsgroup has hinted that I might be crazy... |
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Stewart Fleming wrote:
That's the second time inside a week that someone in this newsgroup has hinted that I might be crazy... but on the bright side crazy and on crack is friendlier/better/funnier than cranky and lashing out. imho etc. heather and don't ask about the endodontist visit. |
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