Latest TdF betting

Bradley Wiggins 11/10
Cadel Evans 9/4
Denis Menchov 16
Vincenzo Nibali 20
Jurgen Van Den Broeck 22
Chris Froome 24
Samuel Sanchez 33
Robert Gesink 34
Frank Schleck 36
Alejandro Valverde 48
......
Chris Horner 150

On 6/19/2012 3:07 AM, atriage wrote:


Bradley Wiggins 11/10
Cadel Evans 9/4
Denis Menchov 16
Vincenzo Nibali 20
Jurgen Van Den Broeck 22
Chris Froome 24
Samuel Sanchez 33
Robert Gesink 34
Frank Schleck 36
Alejandro Valverde 48
.....
Chris Horner 150

Dumbasses,

In recent years the strongest predictor of winning the Tour has
been status as a prior winner.

Prior to 1980 there was good correlation between winners of the
Critérium du Dauphiné and the Tour. But not in the last 30 years.
LANCE did it twice, and Indurain once. Hinault did it in 1981 and
1979 and before that it was much more common.

The Tour de Swiss has a terrible record as a predictor. Other than
LANCE in 2001 you have to go back to Merckx in 1974. Kübler and
Koblet swapped winning the two races in 1950 and 1951 so you have
to wonder if that was part of the negotiations over team leadership.

F

On 19/06/2012 16:51, Fred Flintstein wrote:
On 6/19/2012 3:07 AM, atriage wrote:


Bradley Wiggins 11/10
Cadel Evans 9/4
Denis Menchov 16
Vincenzo Nibali 20
Jurgen Van Den Broeck 22
Chris Froome 24
Samuel Sanchez 33
Robert Gesink 34
Frank Schleck 36
Alejandro Valverde 48
.....
Chris Horner 150

Dumbasses,

In recent years the strongest predictor of winning the Tour has
been status as a prior winner.

Prior to 1980 there was good correlation between winners of the
Critérium du Dauphiné and the Tour. But not in the last 30 years.
LANCE did it twice, and Indurain once. Hinault did it in 1981 and
1979 and before that it was much more common.

The Tour de Swiss has a terrible record as a predictor. Other than
LANCE in 2001 you have to go back to Merckx in 1974.

Yes and anything Merckx did can be discounted on the grounds that he had alien
DNA...probably.

--

Fred Flintstein wrote:
On 6/19/2012 3:07 AM, atriage wrote:


Bradley Wiggins 11/10
Cadel Evans 9/4
Denis Menchov 16
Vincenzo Nibali 20
Jurgen Van Den Broeck 22
Chris Froome 24
Samuel Sanchez 33
Robert Gesink 34
Frank Schleck 36
Alejandro Valverde 48
.....
Chris Horner 150

Dumbasses,

In recent years the strongest predictor of winning the Tour has
been status as a prior winner.

Prior to 1980 there was good correlation between winners of the
Critérium du Dauphiné and the Tour. But not in the last 30 years.
LANCE did it twice, and Indurain once. Hinault did it in 1981 and
1979 and before that it was much more common.

The Tour de Swiss has a terrible record as a predictor. Other than
LANCE in 2001 you have to go back to Merckx in 1974. Kübler and
Koblet swapped winning the two races in 1950 and 1951 so you have
to wonder if that was part of the negotiations over team leadership.

F

Based on the last decade or so, the safest bet is that the winner won't
be the winner because he'll fail a drug test.

Whoever stands at the top of the podium in Paris ought to be called the
provisional winner.

Crossing the finish line first is rather like being nominated for the
Supreme Court - you have to go through all those hearing and your
eventual confirmation is far from certain.

And so it goes.

-S-

On Jun 19, 4:51*pm, Fred Flintstein
wrote:
On 6/19/2012 3:07 AM, atriage wrote:



Bradley Wiggins 11/10
Cadel Evans 9/4
Denis Menchov 16
Vincenzo Nibali 20
Jurgen Van Den Broeck 22
Chris Froome 24
Samuel Sanchez 33
Robert Gesink 34
Frank Schleck 36
Alejandro Valverde 48
.....
Chris Horner 150

Dumbasses,

In recent years the strongest predictor of winning the Tour has
been status as a prior winner.

I think that TdF and UCI might prefer an Englishman to win so could be
all over Cadel and team for drugs. I suspect that squeaky might fall
and retire after he hears of the new tests for roids. I believe it
involves measuring testical size. His navy beans in relation to his
gastrocnemius wont pass muster.


Prior to 1980 there was good correlation between winners of the
Critérium du Dauphiné and the Tour. But not in the last 30 years.
LANCE did it twice, and Indurain once. Hinault did it in 1981 and
1979 and before that it was much more common.

The Tour de Swiss has a terrible record as a predictor. Other than
LANCE in 2001 you have to go back to Merckx in 1974. Kübler and
Koblet swapped winning the two races in 1950 and 1951 so you have
to wonder if that was part of the negotiations over team leadership.

F

On Jun 18, 10:07*pm, atriage wrote:
Bradley Wiggins * * * * * * * * 11/10
Cadel Evans * * * * * * * * * * 9/4
Denis Menchov * * * * * * * * * 16
Vincenzo Nibali * * * * * * * * 20
Jurgen Van Den Broeck * * * * * 22
Chris Froome * * * * * * * * * *24
Samuel Sanchez * * * * * * * * *33
Robert Gesink * * * * * * * * * 34
Frank Schleck * * * * * * * * * 36
Alejandro Valverde * * * * * * *48
.....
Chris Horner * * * * * * * * * *150

Tony Martin 66. Book it, done.