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#1
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Rasmussen ready to crack
My prediction, which might allow for some extra crow in my diet next week,
is that Contador, Pop and Gusev have got a good chance at cracking Rasmussen, leaving, unbelievably (at least that would have been the case two weeks ago) Contador as the winner. (I don't see Levi as being a huge factor because, as he's said himself, he has problems instantly following attacks, just like Rasmussen, so it's difficult to see him initiating them). You listen to the guy in interviews, and watch him when he's racing since carrying the Yellow Jersey, and he seems terribly nervous and ill-at-ease with his situation. I wasn't giving it much though until I looked at a photo my son took at the top of today's Port du Bales climb, and he really doesn't look the part of someone who will survive the final time trial. Not the gameplan Discovery entered the TdF with, but certainly a better outcome than they had hoped for. --Mike Jacoubowsky Chain Reaction Bicycles www.ChainReaction.com Redwood City & Los Altos, CA USA |
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#2
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Rasmussen ready to crack
"Mike Jacoubowsky" wrote in message
. net... My prediction, which might allow for some extra crow in my diet next week, is that Contador, Pop and Gusev have got a good chance at cracking Rasmussen, leaving, unbelievably (at least that would have been the case two weeks ago) Contador as the winner. (I don't see Levi as being a huge factor because, as he's said himself, he has problems instantly following attacks, just like Rasmussen, so it's difficult to see him initiating them). I think that you're pretty close to correct. If Rassmussen doesn't crack, which seems likely, I think he won't be able to follow Contador close enough to avoid losing some little amount of time. And Rassmussen will probably blow his lead in the TT against Contador. The real race now is between Levi and Cadel. |
#3
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Rasmussen ready to crack
On Jul 23, 6:04 pm, "Mike Jacoubowsky"
wrote: My prediction, which might allow for some extra crow in my diet next week, is that Contador, Pop and Gusev have got a good chance at cracking Rasmussen, leaving, unbelievably (at least that would have been the case two weeks ago) Contador as the winner. (I don't see Levi as being a huge factor because, as he's said himself, he has problems instantly following attacks, just like Rasmussen, so it's difficult to see him initiating them). You listen to the guy in interviews, and watch him when he's racing since carrying the Yellow Jersey, and he seems terribly nervous and ill-at-ease with his situation. I wasn't giving it much though until I looked at a photo my son took at the top of today's Port du Bales climb, and he really doesn't look the part of someone who will survive the final time trial. Post the picture, please. R |
#4
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Rasmussen ready to crack
In article ,
"Mike Jacoubowsky" wrote: My prediction, which might allow for some extra crow in my diet next week, is that Contador, Pop and Gusev have got a good chance at cracking Rasmussen, leaving, unbelievably (at least that would have been the case two weeks ago) Contador as the winner. (I don't see Levi as being a huge factor because, as he's said himself, he has problems instantly following attacks, just like Rasmussen, so it's difficult to see him initiating them). You listen to the guy in interviews, and watch him when he's racing since carrying the Yellow Jersey, and he seems terribly nervous and ill-at-ease with his situation. I wasn't giving it much though until I looked at a photo my son took at the top of today's Port du Bales climb, and he really doesn't look the part of someone who will survive the final time trial. Go look at a photo of him last year. He looks about as at-ease as Lance In Chemo. Who he also resembles, sans super-sized head scar. Not the gameplan Discovery entered the TdF with, but certainly a better outcome than they had hoped for. I think Chicken has as good a chance as any in the end. The fact of the matter is jours sans are wildly unpredictable (Vino? 30 minutes??), and there's maybe five riders left in contention, and it looks like the margin of victory will be small. No more than two minutes I would guess, and very possibly less than a minute. If Rasmussen just doesn't do it on Wednesday, he's boned like a McNugget. Evans really has to gain time on Wednesday to be in, Klodi and Leipheimer really have to gain time on Wednesday, or hope that Chicken falls fowl of a non-negative result (must be all that new blood this year...). That's my guess. Also, even if Rasmussen were to fall apart in the TT, 4th and 5th still have to overtake 2nd and 3rd. Contador might actually TT into the win, -- Ryan Cousineau http://www.wiredcola.com/ "I don't want kids who are thinking about going into mathematics to think that they have to take drugs to succeed." -Paul Erdos |
#5
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Rasmussen ready to crack
in message .net, Tom
Kunich ('cyclintom@yahoo. com') wrote: "Mike Jacoubowsky" wrote in message . net... My prediction, which might allow for some extra crow in my diet next week, is that Contador, Pop and Gusev have got a good chance at cracking Rasmussen, leaving, unbelievably (at least that would have been the case two weeks ago) Contador as the winner. (I don't see Levi as being a huge factor because, as he's said himself, he has problems instantly following attacks, just like Rasmussen, so it's difficult to see him initiating them). I think that you're pretty close to correct. If Rassmussen doesn't crack, which seems likely, I think he won't be able to follow Contador close enough to avoid losing some little amount of time. And Rassmussen will probably blow his lead in the TT against Contador. The real race now is between Levi and Cadel. Neither Levi nor Cadel will be on the podium. Rasmussen, Contador and one Astana, probably Kloden, will. Rasmussen doesn't have Contador's acceleration on the climbs, but Contador has not shown he can sustain as high a speed on the climbs as Rasmussen can. So what Rasmussen needs to do on Wednesday is rip the legs off the whole lot of them, by just ignoring them and riding as if they weren't there. And the rest of the leaders are going to have to co-operate with one another if they want to keep him in sight. -- (Simon Brooke) http://www.jasmine.org.uk/~simon/ There's nae Gods, an there's precious few heroes but there's plenty on the dole in th Land o th Leal; And it's time now, tae sweep the future clear o th lies o a past that we know wis never real. |
#6
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Rasmussen ready to crack
On Jul 23, 11:42 pm, Simon Brooke wrote:
in message .net, Tom Kunich ('cyclintom@yahoo. com') wrote: "Mike Jacoubowsky" wrote in message .net... My prediction, which might allow for some extra crow in my diet next week, is that Contador, Pop and Gusev have got a good chance at cracking Rasmussen, leaving, unbelievably (at least that would have been the case two weeks ago) Contador as the winner. (I don't see Levi as being a huge factor because, as he's said himself, he has problems instantly following attacks, just like Rasmussen, so it's difficult to see him initiating them). I think that you're pretty close to correct. If Rassmussen doesn't crack, which seems likely, I think he won't be able to follow Contador close enough to avoid losing some little amount of time. And Rassmussen will probably blow his lead in the TT against Contador. The real race now is between Levi and Cadel. Neither Levi nor Cadel will be on the podium. Rasmussen, Contador and one Astana, probably Kloden, will. Rasmussen doesn't have Contador's acceleration on the climbs, but Contador has not shown he can sustain as high a speed on the climbs as Rasmussen can. So what Rasmussen needs to do on Wednesday is rip the legs off the whole lot of them, by just ignoring them and riding as if they weren't there. And the rest of the leaders are going to have to co-operate with one another if they want to keep him in sight. Dumbass - That works on everyone but Contador. If the Chicken were actually foolish enough to do as you suggest, Contador would sit in his slipstream for a few k's, then launch one of his attacks. Those guys climb fast enough so the draft matters, especially if there's any sort of headwind or crosswind. thanks, K. Gringioni. |
#7
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Rasmussen ready to crack
"Kurgan Gringioni" wrote in message oups.com... Rasmussen doesn't have Contador's acceleration on the climbs, but Contador has not shown he can sustain as high a speed on the climbs as Rasmussen can. So what Rasmussen needs to do on Wednesday is rip the legs off the whole lot of them, by just ignoring them and riding as if they weren't there. And the rest of the leaders are going to have to co-operate with one another if they want to keep him in sight. Dumbass - That works on everyone but Contador. If the Chicken were actually foolish enough to do as you suggest, Contador would sit in his slipstream for a few k's, then launch one of his attacks. Those guys climb fast enough so the draft matters, especially if there's any sort of headwind or crosswind. Another factor at play here that will unintentionally intertwine with the race for GC: Soler could work a deal with Rasmussen to win the mountains jersey. Contador is probably too far back and the jersey perhaps of lesser importance to him. |
#8
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Rasmussen ready to crack
In article
.com , Kurgan Gringioni wrote: On Jul 23, 11:42 pm, Simon Brooke wrote: in message .net, Tom Kunich ('cyclintom@yahoo. com') wrote: "Mike Jacoubowsky" wrote in message .net... My prediction, which might allow for some extra crow in my diet next week, is that Contador, Pop and Gusev have got a good chance at cracking Rasmussen, leaving, unbelievably (at least that would have been the case two weeks ago) Contador as the winner. (I don't see Levi as being a huge factor because, as he's said himself, he has problems instantly following attacks, just like Rasmussen, so it's difficult to see him initiating them). I think that you're pretty close to correct. If Rassmussen doesn't crack, which seems likely, I think he won't be able to follow Contador close enough to avoid losing some little amount of time. And Rassmussen will probably blow his lead in the TT against Contador. The real race now is between Levi and Cadel. Neither Levi nor Cadel will be on the podium. Rasmussen, Contador and one Astana, probably Kloden, will. Rasmussen doesn't have Contador's acceleration on the climbs, but Contador has not shown he can sustain as high a speed on the climbs as Rasmussen can. So what Rasmussen needs to do on Wednesday is rip the legs off the whole lot of them, by just ignoring them and riding as if they weren't there. And the rest of the leaders are going to have to co-operate with one another if they want to keep him in sight. Dumbass - That works on everyone but Contador. If the Chicken were actually foolish enough to do as you suggest, Contador would sit in his slipstream for a few k's, then launch one of his attacks. Those guys climb fast enough so the draft matters, especially if there's any sort of headwind or crosswind. Yes. Still, you have not explained the part where Contador gets two and a half minutes. -- Michael Press |
#9
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Rasmussen ready to crack
Michael Press wrote:
Yes. Still, you have not explained the part where Contador gets two and a half minutes. Voodoo. |
#10
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Rasmussen ready to crack
Yes. Still, you have not explained the part where
Contador gets two and a half minutes. Near the end of Wednesday's stage send Levi on the attack on the Col de Marie-Blanque. Rasmussen is forced to chase while Contador sits in. This will cost Rasmussen a lot in the 21 km between the Col de Marie- Blanque and the final climb of the Col d'Aubisque. Contador rides away on the final climb, taking a couple of minutes from a shattered Rasmussen. Or something close to that. Andy |
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