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#1
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Contador v. Evans in TT
In last year's Tour of Romandie final TT Evans rode 2.5 seconds per km
faster over 20.4 km, and in this year's Albi TT Evans rode 1.12 seconds per km faster over 54 km. The 2005 Tour might be too far back to look for reference points, but Evans gapped Contador by 0.8 seconds per km for a 19km prologue and then by 4.5 seconds per km for the final 55km time trial. Presumably Contador, out of GC contention at that point, wasn't going all out in the final TT. Without taking account of the stage profile (which is a crucial element) if the gap is as in Romandie then Evans wins tomorrow by 2:15 and probably wins the Tour overall. If the gap is more like Albi then Evans wins by about one minute and Contador probably wins the Tour. Anyone else have hunches or insight on tomorrow's outcome? - Corey |
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#2
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Contador v. Evans in TT
On Jul 27, 7:42 pm, wrote:
In last year's Tour of Romandie final TT Evans rode 2.5 seconds per km faster over 20.4 km, and in this year's Albi TT Evans rode 1.12 seconds per km faster over 54 km. The 2005 Tour might be too far back to look for reference points, but Evans gapped Contador by 0.8 seconds per km for a 19km prologue and then by 4.5 seconds per km for the final 55km time trial. Presumably Contador, out of GC contention at that point, wasn't going all out in the final TT. Without taking account of the stage profile (which is a crucial element) if the gap is as in Romandie then Evans wins tomorrow by 2:15 and probably wins the Tour overall. If the gap is more like Albi then Evans wins by about one minute and Contador probably wins the Tour. Anyone else have hunches or insight on tomorrow's outcome? - Corey Considering that Disco is very good in preparing riders (physically and mentally) and have 7 TdF's under their belt the odds are stacked against Evans. But it's a toss-up, thats for sure. |
#3
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Contador v. Evans in TT
On Jul 27, 11:42 am, wrote:
Anyone else have hunches or insight on tomorrow's outcome? No, but here's some more data with recognizable names for comparison/ speculation http://www.cyclingnews.com/road/2007...s/parisnice070 See places 5, 6 ,17 (It did involve a climb) http://www.cyclingnews.com/road/2007...s/profile0.gif DR |
#4
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Contador v. Evans in TT
"Tuschinski" wrote in message
s.com... Considering that Disco is very good in preparing riders (physically and mentally) and have 7 TdF's under their belt the odds are stacked against Evans. But it's a toss-up, thats for sure. I'm hoping that after that dumbass move of Contador's in letting a gap open between him and Evans that Cadel wins by 3 seconds tomorrow. |
#5
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Contador v. Evans in TT
Tom Kunich wrote:
"Tuschinski" wrote in message s.com... Considering that Disco is very good in preparing riders (physically and mentally) and have 7 TdF's under their belt the odds are stacked against Evans. But it's a toss-up, thats for sure. I'm hoping that after that dumbass move of Contador's in letting a gap open between him and Evans that Cadel wins by 3 seconds tomorrow. Damn, I have to agree with TK there. Greg -- The ticket******* Tax Tracker: http://www.ticketmastersucks.org/tracker.html Dethink to survive - Mclusky |
#6
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Contador v. Evans in TT
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#7
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Contador v. Evans in TT
On Jul 27, 3:24 pm, Stu Fleming wrote:
wrote: Anyone else have hunches or insight on tomorrow's outcome? The 3 seconds that Evans took at the end of the Angouleme stage are very important. I don't think final stage will be a procession... I'm not sure how close it would have to be at the end of the TT for someone to think it would even be possible to make up the time on Sunday, before they'd even bother to try. I don't see anyone trying to take back 2 or 3 minutes on Sunday. Not really any way to do it unless they could blow apart the field in a crosswind, like Astana did last week. Sunday will be much like yesterday or today: the entire teams for the top two (three, actually) riders ALL massed at the front protecting their leaders. If it's only seconds, I suppose we could see the top three fighting for the time bonuses at the final sprint, but I don't really expect that would happen. It would require every legitimate sprinter to voluntarily give up any chance for their own stage win, which won't happen. So, how, exactly, would someone overtake the yellow jersey on Sunday? |
#8
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Contador v. Evans in TT
wrote in message ups.com... In last year's Tour of Romandie final TT Evans rode 2.5 seconds per km faster over 20.4 km, and in this year's Albi TT Evans rode 1.12 seconds per km faster over 54 km. The 2005 Tour might be too far back to look for reference points, but Evans gapped Contador by 0.8 seconds per km for a 19km prologue and then by 4.5 seconds per km for the final 55km time trial. Presumably Contador, out of GC contention at that point, wasn't going all out in the final TT. Without taking account of the stage profile (which is a crucial element) if the gap is as in Romandie then Evans wins tomorrow by 2:15 and probably wins the Tour overall. If the gap is more like Albi then Evans wins by about one minute and Contador probably wins the Tour. Anyone else have hunches or insight on tomorrow's outcome? Another newbie Q Does the 20 sec time bonus apply for TT as well? If so, then Evans only needs to be in front of Contador by 1:31, providing Evans wins the TT and Contador arrives lower than third. Am i right, or did i balls it up? - Corey |
#9
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Contador v. Evans in TT
"JC" wrote in message m... Does the 20 sec time bonus apply for TT as well? Another newbie Q No. |
#10
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Contador v. Evans in TT
JC wrote:
wrote in message ups.com... In last year's Tour of Romandie final TT Evans rode 2.5 seconds per km faster over 20.4 km, and in this year's Albi TT Evans rode 1.12 seconds per km faster over 54 km. The 2005 Tour might be too far back to look for reference points, but Evans gapped Contador by 0.8 seconds per km for a 19km prologue and then by 4.5 seconds per km for the final 55km time trial. Presumably Contador, out of GC contention at that point, wasn't going all out in the final TT. Without taking account of the stage profile (which is a crucial element) if the gap is as in Romandie then Evans wins tomorrow by 2:15 and probably wins the Tour overall. If the gap is more like Albi then Evans wins by about one minute and Contador probably wins the Tour. Anyone else have hunches or insight on tomorrow's outcome? Another newbie Q Does the 20 sec time bonus apply for TT as well? If so, then Evans only needs to be in front of Contador by 1:31, providing Evans wins the TT and Contador arrives lower than third. Am i right, or did i balls it up? No bonus on TT, no recalculation of points so bouns if a rider leaves the race in any way. -- Morten Reippuert Knudsen :-) http://blog.reippuert.dk Merlin Works CR-3/2.5 & Campagnolo Chorus 2007. |
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