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#41
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Black bear attacks mountain biker in Washington State park
No, you haven't a clue of how wildlife research is conducted, nor are you
familar with the increase use of information theoretic and Baysenian statistical approaches in the ecological literature (btw, much of the concesus in the field of climate science is based on these types of statistical models and not experiments (observations placed within the framework of statistical models that assist in revealing important factors that contribute to our understanding of how systems work. Experiments contribute to this understanding (such as evaluating bird response to large prescribed burns, herbicides and other forest treatments), but by themselves they represent a relatively small part of our knowldge base. Statistical models for example are used to analyze radio-telemetry data regarding habitat selection these are observation data not experimental. Almost all of our inferences on how large predators use the landscape are based are based on how they react to various habitat features (topography, veg cover classes, road density, human dominated landscapes, ag, etc.); these are largely based on comparing to what degree an individual or group of individuals avoids or uses disproprotionately these featues, again not experimental, but observational. In fact given the appropriate ecological scale for many large predators it would not be possible to even contemplate conducting experiments regarding habitat selection as they would be logistically impossible and therefore any attempt to do so would likely be irrelevant. So know you are clueless as always. Again no, while experiments provide an important framework to understand the natural world, by themselves they would be extremely limiting. Let me give you a simple example, in 1994 a adult female cougar killed a runner along a trail above the American River in Cool California. She had two young 4 to 6 month old cubs her were not with her, but some distance away (a mile or so). The woman was killed in a classic fashion (for a cougar) drug from the kill site (as cougars will do) and fed on. What is the most logical and consistent explanation (I suggest you would plan the mt. biking community), not that she was defending her young, but for some unkown reason (and no experiment in the world would enlighten us on this matter) that day this healthy prime age female so a human as a prey item and killed her. Any other explanation requires us to suspend reality and enter Harry Potter's world. See how simple it is to infer motivation in some cases. Admittedly, other circumstances are confusing and we are left great uncertainity as to the cause. So how do we interpret this, a very rare event that is simply unpredictable. While this may cause some to restrict their time in the woods, those of us her understand probability continue doing what we do. I spend considerable number of days in the backcountry each year without any concern about being attacked by a large predator as I am much more likely to suffer a slip and a fall off a steep trail (I find myself caring to large a pack for most of my backpack trips) or a cardiac event (while seemingly very fit I am in my mid-50s). So why don't you go play somewhere else. |
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#42
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Black bear attacks mountain biker in Washington State park
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#44
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Black bear attacks mountain biker in Washington State park
On Sep 6, 11:25 am, y_p_w wrote:
On Sep 6, 8:33 am, Mike Vandeman wrote: On Tue, 04 Sep 2007 22:05:35 -0700, y_p_w wrote: On Sep 4, 9:19 pm, Mike Vandeman wrote: On Tue, 04 Sep 2007 14:46:48 wrote: On Sep 4, 2:29 pm, Bruce Jensen wrote: On Sep 4, 1:46 wrote: WTF? Tell that to the family in Utah whose 11 year old was dragged out of their tent and killed in June by a male black bear. Male black bears aren't known for being protective of their cubs. Some are known to attack cubs, which could include their own young. Yeah, but we are not at this point talking specfiically about a male or female bear. There is a reasonable chance that the bear in question was a female with cubs, based on other testimony. At the very least, it was surprised. The Utah incident above also involved some questionable human-food handling, IIRC. Sure. However - the attack was for a different reason than a black bear sow defending its cubs. I don't know that that was an "attack". It was probably simply following the smell of food. Dragging an 11 year old 400 yards from a tent was an attack. BS. He was taking what he thought was food to his picnic area. If he wanted to "attack" the kid, there would be no need to move him. Possibly one that could have been avoided, but still an attack. Bears have been known to claw/bite people if they think they can get food. I notice that you haven't offered any other reason for a black bear to attack a human, even though you say there are such reasons. Are you freaking kidding me? They'll attack when startled. I've read of numerous incidents where someone was clawed or bitten when a bear was surprised by a person while it was going through garbage/food. My favorite stories are about idiots feeding bears that just turned on them. Some attacks have been seemly random, like the Cherokee National Forest mauling in 2006. That was just a family on the trail, attacked by a male bear. It was also exceedingly rare. http://www.chattanoogan.com/articles/article_87516.asp I posted this earlier, but I guess it's not valid if it doesn't validate your ill-advised statements: http://www.dfg.ca.gov/news/issues/be...incidents.html "Los Angeles County, July 2003 - A male hiker was knocked down by a bear at a remote campsite along the Pacific Crest Trail in the Angeles National Forest. The hiker had just reached the camp, which was empty, dropped his pack on a picnic table, and was looking for a place to hang his food. As he walked back toward the pack, he heard a noise behind him. As he turned he was knocked to the ground by a bear. After standing over him for a few seconds, the bear grabbed the backpack and began dragging it off. The man shouted at the bear and threw rocks until the bear finally retreated without the backpack. The hiker received only minor bruises and was not seriously hurt. Los Angeles County, July 2001 - A woman was bitten on the arm by a bear at a county-run tree farm near La Verne. The bear, which was earlier spotted climbing on a nearby trash can, reportedly walked up to the woman while she was seated at a picnic table and bit her on the arm. The woman was treated at a hospital for puncture wounds. The bear was later shot and killed by Los Angeles County sheriff's deputies. The bear weighed approximately 85 pounds and was estimated at one to two years of age. Trinity County, May 1986 - A 35-year old man was attacked at around 3 a.m. while camping in a tent in the Trinity Alps Wilderness. The victim felt that he was caught in the middle of a fight between two boars when one bear attacked him in his tent. The bear left when the victim hit the bear with a tentpole. Two bears then returned and acted aggressively toward each another before they finally left. The victim sustained several puncture wounds to his shoulder and lacerations to the back of his head. Siskiyou County, September 1986 - A long-time resident of a small rural community was injured while feeding a bear at his residence. The victim had been feeding bears at this location for more than 30 years." So that's just incidental to feeding (getting competitors for the food out of the way). It's not an "attack" on a person. Knocking/clawing/biting someone to get to food is still an attack, even if just part of a plan to secure food. If someone punches/clubs another person in order to steal a wallet, is that not an "attack"? There are also plenty of documented incidents of bears injuring/ attacking people where there was no food being fought over nor cubs to defend. And I see you have no answer for the 2006 Cherokee National Forest black bear attack. Again - male bear. No food being raided. http://www.southeasternoutdoors.com/...erokee-fatal-b... Here's a known predatory attack: http://www.southeasternoutdoors.com/...oky-mountain-f... "Subsequent necropsies preformed at the University of Tennessee confirmed that both bears the rangers killed had fed on Ms. Bradley and were most likely the bears that had killed her. The bears were not emaciated and the necropsies did not reveal any underlying health issues with the bears that may have contributed to the attack. This lead officials to believe the attack was a predatory." Certainly I'm not trying to employ any scare tactics against people visiting the woods. Incidents like this are extremely rare, but I'm not going to sit by while the completely wrong statement "It's a well- known fact that black bears don't attack humans, except to defend their cubs." is passed on as the truth.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - ALL BULL**** IT WAS STAGED BY THE WITCHCRAFT DRIVEN GOVERNMENT!! ROLE PLAYING THE PUBLIC is what this insanity was. All women who practice witchcraft are SICK!! |
#45
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Black bear attacks mountain biker in Washington State park
"Mike Vandeman" wrote in message ... It's a well-known fact that black bears don't attack humans, except to defend their cubs. Actually, make that "well-known myth." http://www.bear.org/Black/Black_Bear_Facts.html In June I was biking out in the woods here in Maine and waiting out some rain under some trees when a momma bear and her cub came traipsing down a trail not 25 feet from me. The mother bear stood on her hind legs and snorted and blew as her cub ran into the brush. When I took my backpack off and unzipped it to get my camera out, the mother ran into the brush as well. The two stuck around for a few minutes. Nothing happened to me when I turned the corner onto the intersecting trail. And I managed to get a decent photo of the cub in a tree: http://bangorinfo.com/cityforest/Pho...k-bear-cub.jpg I met the same bear just the other night and she had no problem with me watching from 200 feet away as she scaled a tree and ate acorns. I was the one who ended up leaving first, after 20 minutes, because it was pitch dark. |
#46
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Black bear attacks mountain biker in Washington State park
wrote in message ... Mike, your ignorance of wildlife and factless statements become irritating. While black bear attacks on humans are rather rare, as a carnivore, they can and do attack humans from time to time. The probability of an attack is measured in the 1 to 400 million or more (given the number of recreational visitor days a year in black bear country). The motivation for the attack can range from protecting cubs (and yes I would suggest this is one of the more common reasons), And according to a leading expert in the field, not true. |
#47
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Black bear attacks mountain biker in Washington State park
On Sat, 8 Sep 2007 17:27:50 GMT, wrote:
No, you haven't a clue of how wildlife research is conducted, nor are you familar with the increase use of information theoretic and Baysenian statistical approaches in the ecological literature (btw, much of the concesus in the field of climate science is based on these types of statistical models and not experiments (observations placed within the framework of statistical models that assist in revealing important factors that contribute to our understanding of how systems work. Experiments contribute to this understanding (such as evaluating bird response to large prescribed burns, herbicides and other forest treatments), but by themselves they represent a relatively small part of our knowldge base. Statistical models for example are used to analyze radio-telemetry data regarding habitat selection these are observation data not experimental. Almost all of our inferences on how large predators use the landscape are based are based on how they react to various habitat features (topography, veg cover classes, road density, human dominated landscapes, ag, etc.); these are largely based on comparing to what degree an individual or group of individuals avoids or uses disproprotionately these featues, again not experimental, but observational. In fact given the appropriate ecological scale for many large predators it would not be possible to even contemplate conducting experiments regarding habitat selection as they would be logistically impossible and therefore any attempt to do so would likely be irrelevant. So know you are clueless as always. Again no, while experiments provide an important framework to understand the natural world, by themselves they would be extremely limiting. Let me give you a simple example, in 1994 a adult female cougar killed a runner along a trail above the American River in Cool California. She had two young 4 to 6 month old cubs her were not with her, but some distance away (a mile or so). The woman was killed in a classic fashion (for a cougar) drug from the kill site (as cougars will do) and fed on. What is the most logical and consistent explanation (I suggest you would plan the mt. biking community), not that she was defending her young, but for some unkown reason (and no experiment in the world would enlighten us on this matter) that day this healthy prime age female so a human as a prey item and killed her. Any other explanation requires us to suspend reality and enter Harry Potter's world. See how simple it is to infer motivation in some cases. Admittedly, other circumstances are confusing and we are left great uncertainity as to the cause. So how do we interpret this, a very rare event that is simply unpredictable. While this may cause some to restrict their time in the woods, those of us her understand probability continue doing what we do. I spend considerable number of days in the backcountry each year without any concern about being attacked by a large predator as I am much more likely to suffer a slip and a fall off a steep trail (I find myself caring to large a pack for most of my backpack trips) or a cardiac event (while seemingly very fit I am in my mid-50s). So why don't you go play somewhere else. That's a lot of words, just to avoid admitting that your methodology AT BEST only provides hypotheses that still need to be experimentally tested, in order to determine cause. You just dismiss unpleasant but logical conclusions, such as that humans don't belong in bear- & mt. lion habitat. -- I am working on creating wildlife habitat that is off-limits to humans ("pure habitat"). Want to help? (I spent the previous 8 years fighting auto dependence and road construction.) Please don't put a cell phone next to any part of your body that you are fond of! http://home.pacbell.net/mjvande |
#48
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Black bear attacks mountain biker in Washington State park
Your right, I needed fewer words to expose your ignorance. Simply put you
have put forth an uneducated view of the world not based on any knowledge of bears or the bear/human conflict data, and I have represented the general consensus of the scientific community regarding predator/human encounters - you sure you do not work for the Bush administration - based on your blind incompetence I am sure they could find you a job. Another possibility is the bear had just purchased an I-Phone at full price and went postal when he found out Apple just dropped the price a couple of hundred bucks. Keep up the posting Mike so we can be sure you have taken your meds. |
#49
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Black bear attacks mountain biker in Washington State park
On Sun, 09 Sep 2007 05:15:27 GMT, wrote:
Your right, I needed fewer words to expose your ignorance. Simply put you have put forth an uneducated view of the world not based on any knowledge of bears or the bear/human conflict data, and I have represented the general consensus of the scientific community regarding predator/human encounters - you sure you do not work for the Bush administration - based on your blind incompetence I am sure they could find you a job. Another possibility is the bear had just purchased an I-Phone at full price and went postal when he found out Apple just dropped the price a couple of hundred bucks. Keep up the posting Mike so we can be sure you have taken your meds. I notice that you carefully removed my indictment of your ignorance about the scientific method, and changed the subject to "the general consensus of the scientific community" -- whatever THAT is. What are you afraid of? That someone might find out how little you know? -- I am working on creating wildlife habitat that is off-limits to humans ("pure habitat"). Want to help? (I spent the previous 8 years fighting auto dependence and road construction.) Please don't put a cell phone next to any part of your body that you are fond of! http://home.pacbell.net/mjvande |
#50
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Black bear attacks mountain biker in Washington State park
You really do lack reading comprehension and your memory sucks. This entire
thread started with you surmising incorrectly about why black bears attack people - based not on one shred of evidence to support your silly notions and a complete and total lack of the scientific lit on this subject. No you are sad and pathetic, and mainly delusional. Since it is you how has offered a viewpoint not support by the evidence or literature and is inconsistent with the general consensus, I challenge you to come up with evidence that would require the scientific community to change its mind - you may want to save your effort because you have not credibility with scientists and you will fail miserably like you always do. Oh, if you do not understand consensus, talk to climate scientist to get a refresher, it is the very issue that has been driving the scientific bus that has concluded that humans are largely responsible for the current warming trend - but I guess you do believe global warming is a hoax also (also, the majority of our grasp of the problem comes not from experiments, but from observational data (such as ice cores). Dude you need professional help. |
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