#81
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Buying and Selling
On 2017-09-27 11:37, jbeattie wrote:
On Wednesday, September 27, 2017 at 7:18:35 AM UTC-7, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-26 19:39, John B. wrote: On Tue, 26 Sep 2017 07:26:12 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-25 19:23, John B. wrote: On Mon, 25 Sep 2017 07:06:25 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-24 17:01, John B. wrote: On Sun, 24 Sep 2017 07:34:50 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-23 20:52, John B. wrote: On Sat, 23 Sep 2017 08:15:14 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-22 19:03, John B. wrote: On Fri, 22 Sep 2017 12:36:31 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-19 19:44, sms wrote: On 9/19/2017 6:52 PM, somebody wrote: On 2017-09-19 07:06, wrote: snip Or the brake pads from China, $2/pair and free ship. As I have always said the postage fees are grossly lopsided between Asia and the US and that is one of the core reasosn for our trade deficit. Except that most politicians (except manybe one ...) do not understand that. It's an international reciprocal postal treaty that no one worried about when it was mainly U.S. residents of Chinese descent sending packages to relatives in China. More than a decade ago tyat has changed, big time. How long does it take for politicians to turn on their brains? Or for some of them, do they even have one? ... The origin country gets all the postage and the destination country gets nothing with the assumption that the volume will be roughly equal. The small volume of direct-to-consumer low-value items from China is not a core reason for the trade deficit. It is rising, big time. I know people who buy just about anything other than groceries on EBay. When they say "Oh, it always gets here in three to five weeks" you know what's going on. Heck, I even had stuff I bought on Amazon come via "China Post". ... These items would still come into the U.S. through other channels, at higher prices, were it not so cheap to do international shipping from China, you'd just have a middleman. Same reason. The stuff then comes in bulk but the shipping charges are grossly lower than if a US vendor sent the same items to Asia. It isn't just China. For example, when we needed name tags for our therapy dogs' vests (for nursing home visits) we ordered them via Amazon. A small package arrived from Manila, Philippines. I couldn't believe it considering that we had paid just a few Dollars. Looked at the postage, calculated - $0.60. Airmail! It came from a seamstress who appears to specialize in cloth name tags. The shipping cost discrepancy alone puts similar seamstresses in the US out of business. Given that the cost of living, and salaries, are as much as five times cheaper in China than in the U.S. how is changing the mailing costs going to effect sales? The ships and aircraft aren't going to be operable at five times less. Certainly ships are noticeably cheaper to operate if they are NOT U.S. flag vessels. Aircraft? I'm not sure but I would bet that crew costs are noticeably cheaper and almost certainly maintenance costs are cheaper and I would guess if a national carrier in China that fuel costs are also cheaper. Nope. They pretty much pay international (for example Singapore) prices: http://www.edisoninvestmentresearch....ID=18116&LANG= China Post flies Boeing and I can hardly imagine that they get spare parts and service a whole lot cheaper than anyone else whose fleet consist of Boeing aircraft. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China_Postal_Airlines You seem to assume that Boeing parts are all that enter into maintaining an airplane. Wrong. The engines, for example, can be overhauled and labour, facilities and equipment are a large part of the cost of the overhaul. The airframe maintenance is also largely a matter of facilities, labour and equipment. Ah yes, and of course Rolls-Royce sells their engine parts and service to the Chinese at an 80% discount ... To be honest I don't know how Rolls sells their jet engines but I do know that the U.S. engine makers sold their engines to the USAF much cheaper then they sold the same engines to commercial users. The Pentagon will get the usual qualtity discount but not 80-90%. With China Post (and many others) versus USPS we are talking factors of 5:1 to 10:1 here. That difference is not found in the equipment. Nope, according to the GE rep the USAF got their engines cheaper because they did not demand any form of guarantee. How _much_ cheaper? But I am sure that you know that jet engines are manufactured in China? CFN International, a joint venture between GE and SAFRAN Group. CFM has already delivered 20,000 engines over four decades, making it the most popular airline jet engine ever. In fact, a CFM-powered airplane takes off every 2.5 seconds. Perhaps they aren't using Rolls engines :-) No, but they aren't selling the engines and the service for 1/10th of the price. Hey! I was in the business of maintaining airplanes for my uncle for 20 years and the normal maintenance manpower for a fleet of airplanes was several hundred people. All of whom are five times cheaper in China, and the equipment, tools maintenance stands, buildings, all cheaper in China. Your uncle probably didn't fly Boeings or Airbuses internationally. Those companies require quite strict procedures or they will call off all bets. Nope. The companies that make airplanes usually offer a number of what one might call "standard" versions, for example number of passenger seats or number of crew positions. Indonesia for example bought Boeing aircraft with only two crew positions when other companies were buying three crew configurations. And once you buy the thing, test flown and accepted, the aircraft belongs to you and Boeing or Airbus no longer have anything to say about it. The air traffic regulator in the respective countries has a word to say about that. They usually require maintenance per the book, per manufacturer's instructions. There is no "Oh, let's use that aftermarket part here because the original is too expensive". You don't follow those rules, you lose cert. Some countries are a bit loose here and then it can happen (and has) that the FAA prohibits their aircraft from coming into US air space. Rightfully so. Nope again. Yes various countries do attempt to control the quality (for want of a better word) of aircraft flying into their country but "after market" parts are not forbidden as innumerable different manufacturers make airplane parts. Only if approved for type and model. Supplemental Type Certificate or STC. I know a little about this stuff because I am sometimes designing electronics for aircraft and while doing that I am a consultant to third party companies, not to an aircraft manufacturer (except once) . What does happen is that all aircraft parts must be approved - I think that they call it "type approved" for aircraft use - and as long as that is documented then there is no question that it can be used. See? [...] When I was in Indonesia we were approached by a group of Indonesian Airforce people to see if we could improve the maintenance on their helicopters. We approached the helicopter makers about parts prices and were referred to their S.E.A. representative who, in effect, told us to get lost as they already hade a very nice arrangement to sell parts to the Indonesian air force at prices much higher then they were selling to private helicopter companies in the region. It does not explain a 5-10x factor between US and Chinese shipping costs. There is more going on, way deeper than equipment-related. Firstly you are saying "shipping costs" which imply moving substantial amounts of freight, trans-oceanic, by air or sea which is determined primarily by supply and demand, when what you are talking about is sending mail, rates for which is determined by the government of the country in which the mail is posted. Mail = shipping. When some buys a bearing for a vehcile front wheel or whatever in China it must be shipped. They generally use China Post for that. Which charges a small fractions of the cost to the shipper as the US Post Office does in the other direction. _That_ is the problem. This was greatly aggravated by the stupid decision to no longer offer surface mail overseas. Yes, because China is subsidizing the cost of shipping. That is what I am suspecting. ... Neither this president nor this administration is going to subsidize your shipping overseas. Not with USPS sucking-dry the general fund. If they are subsidizing then the US is justified in slapping a tariff on incoming goods via China Post in order to level the playing field. Simple. And why should I, the American public (I'm putting on my MAGA hat), pay more taxes to lower the cost of your shipping to China? You should pay what it costs and pass it on as a business expense. Or, as in the case of real businesses, you ship via container and pay the charge. The easy way of equalizing the imbalance is to apply a tariff to incoming Chinese goods equal to the difference in shipping costs. Exactly. And Trump is the first president in years to hint at that. Hey, maybe I'll give that idea to The Donald the next time I see him on the golf course. The answer is not making shipping cheap for you and causing the USPS to swirl further down the deficit drain. He already knows but fiorst has to deal with a nut case east of China. -- Regards, Joerg http://www.analogconsultants.com/ |
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#82
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Buying and Selling
On Thursday, September 28, 2017 at 7:30:44 AM UTC-7, Joerg wrote:
On 2017-09-27 11:37, jbeattie wrote: On Wednesday, September 27, 2017 at 7:18:35 AM UTC-7, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-26 19:39, John B. wrote: On Tue, 26 Sep 2017 07:26:12 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-25 19:23, John B. wrote: On Mon, 25 Sep 2017 07:06:25 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-24 17:01, John B. wrote: On Sun, 24 Sep 2017 07:34:50 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-23 20:52, John B. wrote: On Sat, 23 Sep 2017 08:15:14 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-22 19:03, John B. wrote: On Fri, 22 Sep 2017 12:36:31 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-19 19:44, sms wrote: On 9/19/2017 6:52 PM, somebody wrote: On 2017-09-19 07:06, wrote: snip Or the brake pads from China, $2/pair and free ship. As I have always said the postage fees are grossly lopsided between Asia and the US and that is one of the core reasosn for our trade deficit. Except that most politicians (except manybe one ...) do not understand that. It's an international reciprocal postal treaty that no one worried about when it was mainly U.S. residents of Chinese descent sending packages to relatives in China. More than a decade ago tyat has changed, big time. How long does it take for politicians to turn on their brains? Or for some of them, do they even have one? ... The origin country gets all the postage and the destination country gets nothing with the assumption that the volume will be roughly equal. The small volume of direct-to-consumer low-value items from China is not a core reason for the trade deficit. It is rising, big time. I know people who buy just about anything other than groceries on EBay. When they say "Oh, it always gets here in three to five weeks" you know what's going on. Heck, I even had stuff I bought on Amazon come via "China Post". ... These items would still come into the U.S. through other channels, at higher prices, were it not so cheap to do international shipping from China, you'd just have a middleman. Same reason. The stuff then comes in bulk but the shipping charges are grossly lower than if a US vendor sent the same items to Asia. It isn't just China. For example, when we needed name tags for our therapy dogs' vests (for nursing home visits) we ordered them via Amazon. A small package arrived from Manila, Philippines. I couldn't believe it considering that we had paid just a few Dollars. Looked at the postage, calculated - $0.60. Airmail! It came from a seamstress who appears to specialize in cloth name tags. The shipping cost discrepancy alone puts similar seamstresses in the US out of business. Given that the cost of living, and salaries, are as much as five times cheaper in China than in the U.S. how is changing the mailing costs going to effect sales? The ships and aircraft aren't going to be operable at five times less. Certainly ships are noticeably cheaper to operate if they are NOT U.S. flag vessels. Aircraft? I'm not sure but I would bet that crew costs are noticeably cheaper and almost certainly maintenance costs are cheaper and I would guess if a national carrier in China that fuel costs are also cheaper. Nope. They pretty much pay international (for example Singapore) prices: http://www.edisoninvestmentresearch....ID=18116&LANG= China Post flies Boeing and I can hardly imagine that they get spare parts and service a whole lot cheaper than anyone else whose fleet consist of Boeing aircraft. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China_Postal_Airlines You seem to assume that Boeing parts are all that enter into maintaining an airplane. Wrong. The engines, for example, can be overhauled and labour, facilities and equipment are a large part of the cost of the overhaul. The airframe maintenance is also largely a matter of facilities, labour and equipment. Ah yes, and of course Rolls-Royce sells their engine parts and service to the Chinese at an 80% discount ... To be honest I don't know how Rolls sells their jet engines but I do know that the U.S. engine makers sold their engines to the USAF much cheaper then they sold the same engines to commercial users. The Pentagon will get the usual qualtity discount but not 80-90%. With China Post (and many others) versus USPS we are talking factors of 5:1 to 10:1 here. That difference is not found in the equipment. Nope, according to the GE rep the USAF got their engines cheaper because they did not demand any form of guarantee. How _much_ cheaper? But I am sure that you know that jet engines are manufactured in China? CFN International, a joint venture between GE and SAFRAN Group. CFM has already delivered 20,000 engines over four decades, making it the most popular airline jet engine ever. In fact, a CFM-powered airplane takes off every 2.5 seconds. Perhaps they aren't using Rolls engines :-) No, but they aren't selling the engines and the service for 1/10th of the price. Hey! I was in the business of maintaining airplanes for my uncle for 20 years and the normal maintenance manpower for a fleet of airplanes was several hundred people. All of whom are five times cheaper in China, and the equipment, tools maintenance stands, buildings, all cheaper in China. Your uncle probably didn't fly Boeings or Airbuses internationally. Those companies require quite strict procedures or they will call off all bets. Nope. The companies that make airplanes usually offer a number of what one might call "standard" versions, for example number of passenger seats or number of crew positions. Indonesia for example bought Boeing aircraft with only two crew positions when other companies were buying three crew configurations. And once you buy the thing, test flown and accepted, the aircraft belongs to you and Boeing or Airbus no longer have anything to say about it. The air traffic regulator in the respective countries has a word to say about that. They usually require maintenance per the book, per manufacturer's instructions. There is no "Oh, let's use that aftermarket part here because the original is too expensive". You don't follow those rules, you lose cert. Some countries are a bit loose here and then it can happen (and has) that the FAA prohibits their aircraft from coming into US air space. Rightfully so. Nope again. Yes various countries do attempt to control the quality (for want of a better word) of aircraft flying into their country but "after market" parts are not forbidden as innumerable different manufacturers make airplane parts. Only if approved for type and model. Supplemental Type Certificate or STC. I know a little about this stuff because I am sometimes designing electronics for aircraft and while doing that I am a consultant to third party companies, not to an aircraft manufacturer (except once) . What does happen is that all aircraft parts must be approved - I think that they call it "type approved" for aircraft use - and as long as that is documented then there is no question that it can be used. See? [...] When I was in Indonesia we were approached by a group of Indonesian Airforce people to see if we could improve the maintenance on their helicopters. We approached the helicopter makers about parts prices and were referred to their S.E.A. representative who, in effect, told us to get lost as they already hade a very nice arrangement to sell parts to the Indonesian air force at prices much higher then they were selling to private helicopter companies in the region. It does not explain a 5-10x factor between US and Chinese shipping costs. There is more going on, way deeper than equipment-related. Firstly you are saying "shipping costs" which imply moving substantial amounts of freight, trans-oceanic, by air or sea which is determined primarily by supply and demand, when what you are talking about is sending mail, rates for which is determined by the government of the country in which the mail is posted. Mail = shipping. When some buys a bearing for a vehcile front wheel or whatever in China it must be shipped. They generally use China Post for that. Which charges a small fractions of the cost to the shipper as the US Post Office does in the other direction. _That_ is the problem. This was greatly aggravated by the stupid decision to no longer offer surface mail overseas. Yes, because China is subsidizing the cost of shipping. That is what I am suspecting. ... Neither this president nor this administration is going to subsidize your shipping overseas. Not with USPS sucking-dry the general fund. If they are subsidizing then the US is justified in slapping a tariff on incoming goods via China Post in order to level the playing field. Simple.. And why should I, the American public (I'm putting on my MAGA hat), pay more taxes to lower the cost of your shipping to China? You should pay what it costs and pass it on as a business expense. Or, as in the case of real businesses, you ship via container and pay the charge. The easy way of equalizing the imbalance is to apply a tariff to incoming Chinese goods equal to the difference in shipping costs. Exactly. And Trump is the first president in years to hint at that. Hey, maybe I'll give that idea to The Donald the next time I see him on the golf course. The answer is not making shipping cheap for you and causing the USPS to swirl further down the deficit drain. He already knows but fiorst has to deal with a nut case east of China. I don't think he knows much of anything, really. One hopes he has good advisers (this week). Trade and tax policy is extremely complicated and accounts (at least in part) for many of the wars fought by this nation -- even before it was a nation, e.g. Barbary Pirates exacting "tariffs," import duty on tea, etc., etc. You don't tweet those kinds of policies. And if you were a true conservative, you'd be saying "why is the government running a postal service anyway? Shouldn't that be private market?" Then if you were a true free-marketer, you would ****-can all duties, tariffs and other impediments to trade. If that meant you, as some tiny manufacturer, lost overseas business or went out of business, then so be it. It's a mountain-lion-eat-mountain-lion world out there. It is not a fair place, and it never has been. |
#83
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Buying and Selling
On 2017-09-28 08:25, jbeattie wrote:
On Thursday, September 28, 2017 at 7:30:44 AM UTC-7, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-27 11:37, jbeattie wrote: On Wednesday, September 27, 2017 at 7:18:35 AM UTC-7, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-26 19:39, John B. wrote: On Tue, 26 Sep 2017 07:26:12 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-25 19:23, John B. wrote: On Mon, 25 Sep 2017 07:06:25 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-24 17:01, John B. wrote: On Sun, 24 Sep 2017 07:34:50 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-23 20:52, John B. wrote: On Sat, 23 Sep 2017 08:15:14 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-22 19:03, John B. wrote: On Fri, 22 Sep 2017 12:36:31 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-19 19:44, sms wrote: On 9/19/2017 6:52 PM, somebody wrote: On 2017-09-19 07:06, wrote: snip Or the brake pads from China, $2/pair and free ship. As I have always said the postage fees are grossly lopsided between Asia and the US and that is one of the core reasosn for our trade deficit. Except that most politicians (except manybe one ...) do not understand that. It's an international reciprocal postal treaty that no one worried about when it was mainly U.S. residents of Chinese descent sending packages to relatives in China. More than a decade ago tyat has changed, big time. How long does it take for politicians to turn on their brains? Or for some of them, do they even have one? ... The origin country gets all the postage and the destination country gets nothing with the assumption that the volume will be roughly equal. The small volume of direct-to-consumer low-value items from China is not a core reason for the trade deficit. It is rising, big time. I know people who buy just about anything other than groceries on EBay. When they say "Oh, it always gets here in three to five weeks" you know what's going on. Heck, I even had stuff I bought on Amazon come via "China Post". ... These items would still come into the U.S. through other channels, at higher prices, were it not so cheap to do international shipping from China, you'd just have a middleman. Same reason. The stuff then comes in bulk but the shipping charges are grossly lower than if a US vendor sent the same items to Asia. It isn't just China. For example, when we needed name tags for our therapy dogs' vests (for nursing home visits) we ordered them via Amazon. A small package arrived from Manila, Philippines. I couldn't believe it considering that we had paid just a few Dollars. Looked at the postage, calculated - $0.60. Airmail! It came from a seamstress who appears to specialize in cloth name tags. The shipping cost discrepancy alone puts similar seamstresses in the US out of business. Given that the cost of living, and salaries, are as much as five times cheaper in China than in the U.S. how is changing the mailing costs going to effect sales? The ships and aircraft aren't going to be operable at five times less. Certainly ships are noticeably cheaper to operate if they are NOT U.S. flag vessels. Aircraft? I'm not sure but I would bet that crew costs are noticeably cheaper and almost certainly maintenance costs are cheaper and I would guess if a national carrier in China that fuel costs are also cheaper. Nope. They pretty much pay international (for example Singapore) prices: http://www.edisoninvestmentresearch....ID=18116&LANG= China Post flies Boeing and I can hardly imagine that they get spare parts and service a whole lot cheaper than anyone else whose fleet consist of Boeing aircraft. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China_Postal_Airlines You seem to assume that Boeing parts are all that enter into maintaining an airplane. Wrong. The engines, for example, can be overhauled and labour, facilities and equipment are a large part of the cost of the overhaul. The airframe maintenance is also largely a matter of facilities, labour and equipment. Ah yes, and of course Rolls-Royce sells their engine parts and service to the Chinese at an 80% discount ... To be honest I don't know how Rolls sells their jet engines but I do know that the U.S. engine makers sold their engines to the USAF much cheaper then they sold the same engines to commercial users. The Pentagon will get the usual qualtity discount but not 80-90%. With China Post (and many others) versus USPS we are talking factors of 5:1 to 10:1 here. That difference is not found in the equipment. Nope, according to the GE rep the USAF got their engines cheaper because they did not demand any form of guarantee. How _much_ cheaper? But I am sure that you know that jet engines are manufactured in China? CFN International, a joint venture between GE and SAFRAN Group. CFM has already delivered 20,000 engines over four decades, making it the most popular airline jet engine ever. In fact, a CFM-powered airplane takes off every 2.5 seconds. Perhaps they aren't using Rolls engines :-) No, but they aren't selling the engines and the service for 1/10th of the price. Hey! I was in the business of maintaining airplanes for my uncle for 20 years and the normal maintenance manpower for a fleet of airplanes was several hundred people. All of whom are five times cheaper in China, and the equipment, tools maintenance stands, buildings, all cheaper in China. Your uncle probably didn't fly Boeings or Airbuses internationally. Those companies require quite strict procedures or they will call off all bets. Nope. The companies that make airplanes usually offer a number of what one might call "standard" versions, for example number of passenger seats or number of crew positions. Indonesia for example bought Boeing aircraft with only two crew positions when other companies were buying three crew configurations. And once you buy the thing, test flown and accepted, the aircraft belongs to you and Boeing or Airbus no longer have anything to say about it. The air traffic regulator in the respective countries has a word to say about that. They usually require maintenance per the book, per manufacturer's instructions. There is no "Oh, let's use that aftermarket part here because the original is too expensive". You don't follow those rules, you lose cert. Some countries are a bit loose here and then it can happen (and has) that the FAA prohibits their aircraft from coming into US air space. Rightfully so. Nope again. Yes various countries do attempt to control the quality (for want of a better word) of aircraft flying into their country but "after market" parts are not forbidden as innumerable different manufacturers make airplane parts. Only if approved for type and model. Supplemental Type Certificate or STC. I know a little about this stuff because I am sometimes designing electronics for aircraft and while doing that I am a consultant to third party companies, not to an aircraft manufacturer (except once) . What does happen is that all aircraft parts must be approved - I think that they call it "type approved" for aircraft use - and as long as that is documented then there is no question that it can be used. See? [...] When I was in Indonesia we were approached by a group of Indonesian Airforce people to see if we could improve the maintenance on their helicopters. We approached the helicopter makers about parts prices and were referred to their S.E.A. representative who, in effect, told us to get lost as they already hade a very nice arrangement to sell parts to the Indonesian air force at prices much higher then they were selling to private helicopter companies in the region. It does not explain a 5-10x factor between US and Chinese shipping costs. There is more going on, way deeper than equipment-related. Firstly you are saying "shipping costs" which imply moving substantial amounts of freight, trans-oceanic, by air or sea which is determined primarily by supply and demand, when what you are talking about is sending mail, rates for which is determined by the government of the country in which the mail is posted. Mail = shipping. When some buys a bearing for a vehcile front wheel or whatever in China it must be shipped. They generally use China Post for that. Which charges a small fractions of the cost to the shipper as the US Post Office does in the other direction. _That_ is the problem. This was greatly aggravated by the stupid decision to no longer offer surface mail overseas. Yes, because China is subsidizing the cost of shipping. That is what I am suspecting. ... Neither this president nor this administration is going to subsidize your shipping overseas. Not with USPS sucking-dry the general fund. If they are subsidizing then the US is justified in slapping a tariff on incoming goods via China Post in order to level the playing field. Simple. And why should I, the American public (I'm putting on my MAGA hat), pay more taxes to lower the cost of your shipping to China? You should pay what it costs and pass it on as a business expense. Or, as in the case of real businesses, you ship via container and pay the charge. The easy way of equalizing the imbalance is to apply a tariff to incoming Chinese goods equal to the difference in shipping costs. Exactly. And Trump is the first president in years to hint at that. Hey, maybe I'll give that idea to The Donald the next time I see him on the golf course. The answer is not making shipping cheap for you and causing the USPS to swirl further down the deficit drain. He already knows but fiorst has to deal with a nut case east of China. I don't think he knows much of anything, really. One hopes he has good advisers (this week). Trade and tax policy is extremely complicated and accounts (at least in part) for many of the wars fought by this nation -- even before it was a nation, e.g. Barbary Pirates exacting "tariffs," import duty on tea, etc., etc. You don't tweet those kinds of policies. And if you were a true conservative, you'd be saying "why is the government running a postal service anyway? Shouldn't that be private market?" Then if you were a true free-marketer, you would ****-can all duties, tariffs and other impediments to trade. If that meant you, as some tiny manufacturer, lost overseas business or went out of business, then so be it. It's a mountain-lion-eat-mountain-lion world out there. It is not a fair place, and it never has been. That would mean your career ends as well. Because with a "level playing field" the guy in Bangladesh makes about the same income as the guy in Oregon, meaning they can't afford a 3-digit hourly rate even for a few minutes. Legal matters would not be handled in court anymore by in fisticuffs or with a six-shooter, like they used to be in the Wild West. -- Regards, Joerg http://www.analogconsultants.com/ |
#85
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Buying and Selling
On Thursday, September 28, 2017 at 8:25:06 AM UTC-7, jbeattie wrote:
On Thursday, September 28, 2017 at 7:30:44 AM UTC-7, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-27 11:37, jbeattie wrote: On Wednesday, September 27, 2017 at 7:18:35 AM UTC-7, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-26 19:39, John B. wrote: On Tue, 26 Sep 2017 07:26:12 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-25 19:23, John B. wrote: On Mon, 25 Sep 2017 07:06:25 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-24 17:01, John B. wrote: On Sun, 24 Sep 2017 07:34:50 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-23 20:52, John B. wrote: On Sat, 23 Sep 2017 08:15:14 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-22 19:03, John B. wrote: On Fri, 22 Sep 2017 12:36:31 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-19 19:44, sms wrote: On 9/19/2017 6:52 PM, somebody wrote: On 2017-09-19 07:06, wrote: snip Or the brake pads from China, $2/pair and free ship. As I have always said the postage fees are grossly lopsided between Asia and the US and that is one of the core reasosn for our trade deficit. Except that most politicians (except manybe one ...) do not understand that. It's an international reciprocal postal treaty that no one worried about when it was mainly U.S. residents of Chinese descent sending packages to relatives in China. More than a decade ago tyat has changed, big time. How long does it take for politicians to turn on their brains? Or for some of them, do they even have one? ... The origin country gets all the postage and the destination country gets nothing with the assumption that the volume will be roughly equal. The small volume of direct-to-consumer low-value items from China is not a core reason for the trade deficit. It is rising, big time. I know people who buy just about anything other than groceries on EBay. When they say "Oh, it always gets here in three to five weeks" you know what's going on. Heck, I even had stuff I bought on Amazon come via "China Post". ... These items would still come into the U.S. through other channels, at higher prices, were it not so cheap to do international shipping from China, you'd just have a middleman. Same reason. The stuff then comes in bulk but the shipping charges are grossly lower than if a US vendor sent the same items to Asia. It isn't just China. For example, when we needed name tags for our therapy dogs' vests (for nursing home visits) we ordered them via Amazon. A small package arrived from Manila, Philippines. I couldn't believe it considering that we had paid just a few Dollars. Looked at the postage, calculated - $0.60. Airmail! It came from a seamstress who appears to specialize in cloth name tags. The shipping cost discrepancy alone puts similar seamstresses in the US out of business. Given that the cost of living, and salaries, are as much as five times cheaper in China than in the U.S. how is changing the mailing costs going to effect sales? The ships and aircraft aren't going to be operable at five times less. Certainly ships are noticeably cheaper to operate if they are NOT U.S. flag vessels. Aircraft? I'm not sure but I would bet that crew costs are noticeably cheaper and almost certainly maintenance costs are cheaper and I would guess if a national carrier in China that fuel costs are also cheaper. Nope. They pretty much pay international (for example Singapore) prices: http://www.edisoninvestmentresearch....ID=18116&LANG= China Post flies Boeing and I can hardly imagine that they get spare parts and service a whole lot cheaper than anyone else whose fleet consist of Boeing aircraft. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China_Postal_Airlines You seem to assume that Boeing parts are all that enter into maintaining an airplane. Wrong. The engines, for example, can be overhauled and labour, facilities and equipment are a large part of the cost of the overhaul. The airframe maintenance is also largely a matter of facilities, labour and equipment. Ah yes, and of course Rolls-Royce sells their engine parts and service to the Chinese at an 80% discount ... To be honest I don't know how Rolls sells their jet engines but I do know that the U.S. engine makers sold their engines to the USAF much cheaper then they sold the same engines to commercial users. The Pentagon will get the usual qualtity discount but not 80-90%. With China Post (and many others) versus USPS we are talking factors of 5:1 to 10:1 here. That difference is not found in the equipment. Nope, according to the GE rep the USAF got their engines cheaper because they did not demand any form of guarantee. How _much_ cheaper? But I am sure that you know that jet engines are manufactured in China? CFN International, a joint venture between GE and SAFRAN Group. CFM has already delivered 20,000 engines over four decades, making it the most popular airline jet engine ever. In fact, a CFM-powered airplane takes off every 2.5 seconds. Perhaps they aren't using Rolls engines :-) No, but they aren't selling the engines and the service for 1/10th of the price. Hey! I was in the business of maintaining airplanes for my uncle for 20 years and the normal maintenance manpower for a fleet of airplanes was several hundred people. All of whom are five times cheaper in China, and the equipment, tools maintenance stands, buildings, all cheaper in China. Your uncle probably didn't fly Boeings or Airbuses internationally. Those companies require quite strict procedures or they will call off all bets. Nope. The companies that make airplanes usually offer a number of what one might call "standard" versions, for example number of passenger seats or number of crew positions. Indonesia for example bought Boeing aircraft with only two crew positions when other companies were buying three crew configurations. And once you buy the thing, test flown and accepted, the aircraft belongs to you and Boeing or Airbus no longer have anything to say about it. The air traffic regulator in the respective countries has a word to say about that. They usually require maintenance per the book, per manufacturer's instructions. There is no "Oh, let's use that aftermarket part here because the original is too expensive". You don't follow those rules, you lose cert. Some countries are a bit loose here and then it can happen (and has) that the FAA prohibits their aircraft from coming into US air space. Rightfully so. Nope again. Yes various countries do attempt to control the quality (for want of a better word) of aircraft flying into their country but "after market" parts are not forbidden as innumerable different manufacturers make airplane parts. Only if approved for type and model. Supplemental Type Certificate or STC. I know a little about this stuff because I am sometimes designing electronics for aircraft and while doing that I am a consultant to third party companies, not to an aircraft manufacturer (except once) . What does happen is that all aircraft parts must be approved - I think that they call it "type approved" for aircraft use - and as long as that is documented then there is no question that it can be used. See? [...] When I was in Indonesia we were approached by a group of Indonesian Airforce people to see if we could improve the maintenance on their helicopters. We approached the helicopter makers about parts prices and were referred to their S.E.A. representative who, in effect, told us to get lost as they already hade a very nice arrangement to sell parts to the Indonesian air force at prices much higher then they were selling to private helicopter companies in the region. It does not explain a 5-10x factor between US and Chinese shipping costs. There is more going on, way deeper than equipment-related. Firstly you are saying "shipping costs" which imply moving substantial amounts of freight, trans-oceanic, by air or sea which is determined primarily by supply and demand, when what you are talking about is sending mail, rates for which is determined by the government of the country in which the mail is posted. Mail = shipping. When some buys a bearing for a vehcile front wheel or whatever in China it must be shipped. They generally use China Post for that. Which charges a small fractions of the cost to the shipper as the US Post Office does in the other direction. _That_ is the problem. This was greatly aggravated by the stupid decision to no longer offer surface mail overseas. Yes, because China is subsidizing the cost of shipping. That is what I am suspecting. ... Neither this president nor this administration is going to subsidize your shipping overseas. Not with USPS sucking-dry the general fund. If they are subsidizing then the US is justified in slapping a tariff on incoming goods via China Post in order to level the playing field. Simple. And why should I, the American public (I'm putting on my MAGA hat), pay more taxes to lower the cost of your shipping to China? You should pay what it costs and pass it on as a business expense. Or, as in the case of real businesses, you ship via container and pay the charge. The easy way of equalizing the imbalance is to apply a tariff to incoming Chinese goods equal to the difference in shipping costs. Exactly. And Trump is the first president in years to hint at that. Hey, maybe I'll give that idea to The Donald the next time I see him on the golf course. The answer is not making shipping cheap for you and causing the USPS to swirl further down the deficit drain. He already knows but fiorst has to deal with a nut case east of China. I don't think he knows much of anything, really. One hopes he has good advisers (this week). Trade and tax policy is extremely complicated and accounts (at least in part) for many of the wars fought by this nation -- even before it was a nation, e.g. Barbary Pirates exacting "tariffs," import duty on tea, etc., etc. You don't tweet those kinds of policies. And if you were a true conservative, you'd be saying "why is the government running a postal service anyway? Shouldn't that be private market?" Then if you were a true free-marketer, you would ****-can all duties, tariffs and other impediments to trade. If that meant you, as some tiny manufacturer, lost overseas business or went out of business, then so be it. It's a mountain-lion-eat-mountain-lion world out there. It is not a fair place, and it never has been. Jay, really, what do you know about trade and tax policies? That is hardly your specialty I would warrant. Something you might be a great deal more educated about - exactly what is the limit in small claims court in California, Alameda County? It looks like the insurance company for that woman who ran into and totaled my parked car is simply planning on doing nothing at all. |
#86
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Buying and Selling
On 2017-09-28 13:58, wrote:
On Thursday, September 28, 2017 at 8:25:06 AM UTC-7, jbeattie wrote: On Thursday, September 28, 2017 at 7:30:44 AM UTC-7, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-27 11:37, jbeattie wrote: On Wednesday, September 27, 2017 at 7:18:35 AM UTC-7, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-26 19:39, John B. wrote: On Tue, 26 Sep 2017 07:26:12 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-25 19:23, John B. wrote: On Mon, 25 Sep 2017 07:06:25 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-24 17:01, John B. wrote: On Sun, 24 Sep 2017 07:34:50 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-23 20:52, John B. wrote: On Sat, 23 Sep 2017 08:15:14 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-22 19:03, John B. wrote: On Fri, 22 Sep 2017 12:36:31 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-19 19:44, sms wrote: On 9/19/2017 6:52 PM, somebody wrote: On 2017-09-19 07:06, wrote: snip Or the brake pads from China, $2/pair and free ship. As I have always said the postage fees are grossly lopsided between Asia and the US and that is one of the core reasosn for our trade deficit. Except that most politicians (except manybe one ...) do not understand that. It's an international reciprocal postal treaty that no one worried about when it was mainly U.S. residents of Chinese descent sending packages to relatives in China. More than a decade ago tyat has changed, big time. How long does it take for politicians to turn on their brains? Or for some of them, do they even have one? ... The origin country gets all the postage and the destination country gets nothing with the assumption that the volume will be roughly equal. The small volume of direct-to-consumer low-value items from China is not a core reason for the trade deficit. It is rising, big time. I know people who buy just about anything other than groceries on EBay. When they say "Oh, it always gets here in three to five weeks" you know what's going on. Heck, I even had stuff I bought on Amazon come via "China Post". ... These items would still come into the U.S. through other channels, at higher prices, were it not so cheap to do international shipping from China, you'd just have a middleman. Same reason. The stuff then comes in bulk but the shipping charges are grossly lower than if a US vendor sent the same items to Asia. It isn't just China. For example, when we needed name tags for our therapy dogs' vests (for nursing home visits) we ordered them via Amazon. A small package arrived from Manila, Philippines. I couldn't believe it considering that we had paid just a few Dollars. Looked at the postage, calculated - $0.60. Airmail! It came from a seamstress who appears to specialize in cloth name tags. The shipping cost discrepancy alone puts similar seamstresses in the US out of business. Given that the cost of living, and salaries, are as much as five times cheaper in China than in the U.S. how is changing the mailing costs going to effect sales? The ships and aircraft aren't going to be operable at five times less. Certainly ships are noticeably cheaper to operate if they are NOT U.S. flag vessels. Aircraft? I'm not sure but I would bet that crew costs are noticeably cheaper and almost certainly maintenance costs are cheaper and I would guess if a national carrier in China that fuel costs are also cheaper. Nope. They pretty much pay international (for example Singapore) prices: http://www.edisoninvestmentresearch....ID=18116&LANG= China Post flies Boeing and I can hardly imagine that they get spare parts and service a whole lot cheaper than anyone else whose fleet consist of Boeing aircraft. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China_Postal_Airlines You seem to assume that Boeing parts are all that enter into maintaining an airplane. Wrong. The engines, for example, can be overhauled and labour, facilities and equipment are a large part of the cost of the overhaul. The airframe maintenance is also largely a matter of facilities, labour and equipment. Ah yes, and of course Rolls-Royce sells their engine parts and service to the Chinese at an 80% discount ... To be honest I don't know how Rolls sells their jet engines but I do know that the U.S. engine makers sold their engines to the USAF much cheaper then they sold the same engines to commercial users. The Pentagon will get the usual qualtity discount but not 80-90%. With China Post (and many others) versus USPS we are talking factors of 5:1 to 10:1 here. That difference is not found in the equipment. Nope, according to the GE rep the USAF got their engines cheaper because they did not demand any form of guarantee. How _much_ cheaper? But I am sure that you know that jet engines are manufactured in China? CFN International, a joint venture between GE and SAFRAN Group. CFM has already delivered 20,000 engines over four decades, making it the most popular airline jet engine ever. In fact, a CFM-powered airplane takes off every 2.5 seconds. Perhaps they aren't using Rolls engines :-) No, but they aren't selling the engines and the service for 1/10th of the price. Hey! I was in the business of maintaining airplanes for my uncle for 20 years and the normal maintenance manpower for a fleet of airplanes was several hundred people. All of whom are five times cheaper in China, and the equipment, tools maintenance stands, buildings, all cheaper in China. Your uncle probably didn't fly Boeings or Airbuses internationally. Those companies require quite strict procedures or they will call off all bets. Nope. The companies that make airplanes usually offer a number of what one might call "standard" versions, for example number of passenger seats or number of crew positions. Indonesia for example bought Boeing aircraft with only two crew positions when other companies were buying three crew configurations. And once you buy the thing, test flown and accepted, the aircraft belongs to you and Boeing or Airbus no longer have anything to say about it. The air traffic regulator in the respective countries has a word to say about that. They usually require maintenance per the book, per manufacturer's instructions. There is no "Oh, let's use that aftermarket part here because the original is too expensive". You don't follow those rules, you lose cert. Some countries are a bit loose here and then it can happen (and has) that the FAA prohibits their aircraft from coming into US air space. Rightfully so. Nope again. Yes various countries do attempt to control the quality (for want of a better word) of aircraft flying into their country but "after market" parts are not forbidden as innumerable different manufacturers make airplane parts. Only if approved for type and model. Supplemental Type Certificate or STC. I know a little about this stuff because I am sometimes designing electronics for aircraft and while doing that I am a consultant to third party companies, not to an aircraft manufacturer (except once) . What does happen is that all aircraft parts must be approved - I think that they call it "type approved" for aircraft use - and as long as that is documented then there is no question that it can be used. See? [...] When I was in Indonesia we were approached by a group of Indonesian Airforce people to see if we could improve the maintenance on their helicopters. We approached the helicopter makers about parts prices and were referred to their S.E.A. representative who, in effect, told us to get lost as they already hade a very nice arrangement to sell parts to the Indonesian air force at prices much higher then they were selling to private helicopter companies in the region. It does not explain a 5-10x factor between US and Chinese shipping costs. There is more going on, way deeper than equipment-related. Firstly you are saying "shipping costs" which imply moving substantial amounts of freight, trans-oceanic, by air or sea which is determined primarily by supply and demand, when what you are talking about is sending mail, rates for which is determined by the government of the country in which the mail is posted. Mail = shipping. When some buys a bearing for a vehcile front wheel or whatever in China it must be shipped. They generally use China Post for that. Which charges a small fractions of the cost to the shipper as the US Post Office does in the other direction. _That_ is the problem. This was greatly aggravated by the stupid decision to no longer offer surface mail overseas. Yes, because China is subsidizing the cost of shipping. That is what I am suspecting. ... Neither this president nor this administration is going to subsidize your shipping overseas. Not with USPS sucking-dry the general fund. If they are subsidizing then the US is justified in slapping a tariff on incoming goods via China Post in order to level the playing field. Simple. And why should I, the American public (I'm putting on my MAGA hat), pay more taxes to lower the cost of your shipping to China? You should pay what it costs and pass it on as a business expense. Or, as in the case of real businesses, you ship via container and pay the charge. The easy way of equalizing the imbalance is to apply a tariff to incoming Chinese goods equal to the difference in shipping costs. Exactly. And Trump is the first president in years to hint at that. Hey, maybe I'll give that idea to The Donald the next time I see him on the golf course. The answer is not making shipping cheap for you and causing the USPS to swirl further down the deficit drain. He already knows but fiorst has to deal with a nut case east of China. I don't think he knows much of anything, really. One hopes he has good advisers (this week). Trade and tax policy is extremely complicated and accounts (at least in part) for many of the wars fought by this nation -- even before it was a nation, e.g. Barbary Pirates exacting "tariffs," import duty on tea, etc., etc. You don't tweet those kinds of policies. And if you were a true conservative, you'd be saying "why is the government running a postal service anyway? Shouldn't that be private market?" Then if you were a true free-marketer, you would ****-can all duties, tariffs and other impediments to trade. If that meant you, as some tiny manufacturer, lost overseas business or went out of business, then so be it. It's a mountain-lion-eat-mountain-lion world out there. It is not a fair place, and it never has been. Jay, really, what do you know about trade and tax policies? That is hardly your specialty I would warrant. Something you might be a great deal more educated about - exactly what is the limit in small claims court in California, Alameda County? It looks like the insurance company for that woman who ran into and totaled my parked car is simply planning on doing nothing at all. http://www.courts.ca.gov/1062.htm If you are a AAA member there is also some legal help available. -- Regards, Joerg http://www.analogconsultants.com/ |
#87
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Buying and Selling
On Thursday, September 28, 2017 at 2:08:12 PM UTC-7, Joerg wrote:
On 2017-09-28 13:58, wrote: On Thursday, September 28, 2017 at 8:25:06 AM UTC-7, jbeattie wrote: On Thursday, September 28, 2017 at 7:30:44 AM UTC-7, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-27 11:37, jbeattie wrote: On Wednesday, September 27, 2017 at 7:18:35 AM UTC-7, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-26 19:39, John B. wrote: On Tue, 26 Sep 2017 07:26:12 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-25 19:23, John B. wrote: On Mon, 25 Sep 2017 07:06:25 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-24 17:01, John B. wrote: On Sun, 24 Sep 2017 07:34:50 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-23 20:52, John B. wrote: On Sat, 23 Sep 2017 08:15:14 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-22 19:03, John B. wrote: On Fri, 22 Sep 2017 12:36:31 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-19 19:44, sms wrote: On 9/19/2017 6:52 PM, somebody wrote: On 2017-09-19 07:06, wrote: snip Or the brake pads from China, $2/pair and free ship. As I have always said the postage fees are grossly lopsided between Asia and the US and that is one of the core reasosn for our trade deficit. Except that most politicians (except manybe one ...) do not understand that. It's an international reciprocal postal treaty that no one worried about when it was mainly U.S. residents of Chinese descent sending packages to relatives in China. More than a decade ago tyat has changed, big time. How long does it take for politicians to turn on their brains? Or for some of them, do they even have one? ... The origin country gets all the postage and the destination country gets nothing with the assumption that the volume will be roughly equal. The small volume of direct-to-consumer low-value items from China is not a core reason for the trade deficit. It is rising, big time. I know people who buy just about anything other than groceries on EBay. When they say "Oh, it always gets here in three to five weeks" you know what's going on. Heck, I even had stuff I bought on Amazon come via "China Post". ... These items would still come into the U.S. through other channels, at higher prices, were it not so cheap to do international shipping from China, you'd just have a middleman. Same reason. The stuff then comes in bulk but the shipping charges are grossly lower than if a US vendor sent the same items to Asia. It isn't just China. For example, when we needed name tags for our therapy dogs' vests (for nursing home visits) we ordered them via Amazon. A small package arrived from Manila, Philippines. I couldn't believe it considering that we had paid just a few Dollars. Looked at the postage, calculated - $0.60. Airmail! It came from a seamstress who appears to specialize in cloth name tags. The shipping cost discrepancy alone puts similar seamstresses in the US out of business. Given that the cost of living, and salaries, are as much as five times cheaper in China than in the U.S. how is changing the mailing costs going to effect sales? The ships and aircraft aren't going to be operable at five times less. Certainly ships are noticeably cheaper to operate if they are NOT U.S. flag vessels. Aircraft? I'm not sure but I would bet that crew costs are noticeably cheaper and almost certainly maintenance costs are cheaper and I would guess if a national carrier in China that fuel costs are also cheaper. Nope. They pretty much pay international (for example Singapore) prices: http://www.edisoninvestmentresearch....ID=18116&LANG= China Post flies Boeing and I can hardly imagine that they get spare parts and service a whole lot cheaper than anyone else whose fleet consist of Boeing aircraft. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China_Postal_Airlines You seem to assume that Boeing parts are all that enter into maintaining an airplane. Wrong. The engines, for example, can be overhauled and labour, facilities and equipment are a large part of the cost of the overhaul. The airframe maintenance is also largely a matter of facilities, labour and equipment. Ah yes, and of course Rolls-Royce sells their engine parts and service to the Chinese at an 80% discount ... To be honest I don't know how Rolls sells their jet engines but I do know that the U.S. engine makers sold their engines to the USAF much cheaper then they sold the same engines to commercial users. The Pentagon will get the usual qualtity discount but not 80-90%. With China Post (and many others) versus USPS we are talking factors of 5:1 to 10:1 here. That difference is not found in the equipment. Nope, according to the GE rep the USAF got their engines cheaper because they did not demand any form of guarantee. How _much_ cheaper? But I am sure that you know that jet engines are manufactured in China? CFN International, a joint venture between GE and SAFRAN Group. CFM has already delivered 20,000 engines over four decades, making it the most popular airline jet engine ever. In fact, a CFM-powered airplane takes off every 2.5 seconds. Perhaps they aren't using Rolls engines :-) No, but they aren't selling the engines and the service for 1/10th of the price. Hey! I was in the business of maintaining airplanes for my uncle for 20 years and the normal maintenance manpower for a fleet of airplanes was several hundred people. All of whom are five times cheaper in China, and the equipment, tools maintenance stands, buildings, all cheaper in China. Your uncle probably didn't fly Boeings or Airbuses internationally. Those companies require quite strict procedures or they will call off all bets. Nope. The companies that make airplanes usually offer a number of what one might call "standard" versions, for example number of passenger seats or number of crew positions. Indonesia for example bought Boeing aircraft with only two crew positions when other companies were buying three crew configurations. And once you buy the thing, test flown and accepted, the aircraft belongs to you and Boeing or Airbus no longer have anything to say about it. The air traffic regulator in the respective countries has a word to say about that. They usually require maintenance per the book, per manufacturer's instructions. There is no "Oh, let's use that aftermarket part here because the original is too expensive". You don't follow those rules, you lose cert. Some countries are a bit loose here and then it can happen (and has) that the FAA prohibits their aircraft from coming into US air space. Rightfully so. Nope again. Yes various countries do attempt to control the quality (for want of a better word) of aircraft flying into their country but "after market" parts are not forbidden as innumerable different manufacturers make airplane parts. Only if approved for type and model. Supplemental Type Certificate or STC. I know a little about this stuff because I am sometimes designing electronics for aircraft and while doing that I am a consultant to third party companies, not to an aircraft manufacturer (except once) . What does happen is that all aircraft parts must be approved - I think that they call it "type approved" for aircraft use - and as long as that is documented then there is no question that it can be used. See? [...] When I was in Indonesia we were approached by a group of Indonesian Airforce people to see if we could improve the maintenance on their helicopters. We approached the helicopter makers about parts prices and were referred to their S.E.A. representative who, in effect, told us to get lost as they already hade a very nice arrangement to sell parts to the Indonesian air force at prices much higher then they were selling to private helicopter companies in the region. It does not explain a 5-10x factor between US and Chinese shipping costs. There is more going on, way deeper than equipment-related. Firstly you are saying "shipping costs" which imply moving substantial amounts of freight, trans-oceanic, by air or sea which is determined primarily by supply and demand, when what you are talking about is sending mail, rates for which is determined by the government of the country in which the mail is posted. Mail = shipping. When some buys a bearing for a vehcile front wheel or whatever in China it must be shipped. They generally use China Post for that. Which charges a small fractions of the cost to the shipper as the US Post Office does in the other direction. _That_ is the problem. This was greatly aggravated by the stupid decision to no longer offer surface mail overseas. Yes, because China is subsidizing the cost of shipping. That is what I am suspecting. ... Neither this president nor this administration is going to subsidize your shipping overseas. Not with USPS sucking-dry the general fund. If they are subsidizing then the US is justified in slapping a tariff on incoming goods via China Post in order to level the playing field. Simple. And why should I, the American public (I'm putting on my MAGA hat), pay more taxes to lower the cost of your shipping to China? You should pay what it costs and pass it on as a business expense. Or, as in the case of real businesses, you ship via container and pay the charge. The easy way of equalizing the imbalance is to apply a tariff to incoming Chinese goods equal to the difference in shipping costs. Exactly. And Trump is the first president in years to hint at that. Hey, maybe I'll give that idea to The Donald the next time I see him on the golf course. The answer is not making shipping cheap for you and causing the USPS to swirl further down the deficit drain. He already knows but fiorst has to deal with a nut case east of China. I don't think he knows much of anything, really. One hopes he has good advisers (this week). Trade and tax policy is extremely complicated and accounts (at least in part) for many of the wars fought by this nation -- even before it was a nation, e.g. Barbary Pirates exacting "tariffs," import duty on tea, etc., etc. You don't tweet those kinds of policies. And if you were a true conservative, you'd be saying "why is the government running a postal service anyway? Shouldn't that be private market?" Then if you were a true free-marketer, you would ****-can all duties, tariffs and other impediments to trade. If that meant you, as some tiny manufacturer, lost overseas business or went out of business, then so be it. It's a mountain-lion-eat-mountain-lion world out there. It is not a fair place, and it never has been. Jay, really, what do you know about trade and tax policies? That is hardly your specialty I would warrant. Something you might be a great deal more educated about - exactly what is the limit in small claims court in California, Alameda County? It looks like the insurance company for that woman who ran into and totaled my parked car is simply planning on doing nothing at all. http://www.courts.ca.gov/1062.htm If you are a AAA member there is also some legal help available. I could have sworn I had a triple A card but I can't find it. But it is nice to know that I can sue for not only the car and the missed reservation at a hotel the next day, but that all of my time and bother can be covered as well. It looks like tomorrow I'll have to drop by the police station and get a copy of the police report. |
#88
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Buying and Selling
On Thursday, September 28, 2017 at 1:58:41 PM UTC-7, wrote:
On Thursday, September 28, 2017 at 8:25:06 AM UTC-7, jbeattie wrote: On Thursday, September 28, 2017 at 7:30:44 AM UTC-7, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-27 11:37, jbeattie wrote: On Wednesday, September 27, 2017 at 7:18:35 AM UTC-7, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-26 19:39, John B. wrote: On Tue, 26 Sep 2017 07:26:12 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-25 19:23, John B. wrote: On Mon, 25 Sep 2017 07:06:25 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-24 17:01, John B. wrote: On Sun, 24 Sep 2017 07:34:50 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-23 20:52, John B. wrote: On Sat, 23 Sep 2017 08:15:14 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-22 19:03, John B. wrote: On Fri, 22 Sep 2017 12:36:31 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-19 19:44, sms wrote: On 9/19/2017 6:52 PM, somebody wrote: On 2017-09-19 07:06, wrote: snip Or the brake pads from China, $2/pair and free ship. As I have always said the postage fees are grossly lopsided between Asia and the US and that is one of the core reasosn for our trade deficit. Except that most politicians (except manybe one ...) do not understand that. It's an international reciprocal postal treaty that no one worried about when it was mainly U.S. residents of Chinese descent sending packages to relatives in China. More than a decade ago tyat has changed, big time. How long does it take for politicians to turn on their brains? Or for some of them, do they even have one? ... The origin country gets all the postage and the destination country gets nothing with the assumption that the volume will be roughly equal. The small volume of direct-to-consumer low-value items from China is not a core reason for the trade deficit. It is rising, big time. I know people who buy just about anything other than groceries on EBay. When they say "Oh, it always gets here in three to five weeks" you know what's going on. Heck, I even had stuff I bought on Amazon come via "China Post". ... These items would still come into the U.S. through other channels, at higher prices, were it not so cheap to do international shipping from China, you'd just have a middleman. Same reason. The stuff then comes in bulk but the shipping charges are grossly lower than if a US vendor sent the same items to Asia. It isn't just China. For example, when we needed name tags for our therapy dogs' vests (for nursing home visits) we ordered them via Amazon. A small package arrived from Manila, Philippines. I couldn't believe it considering that we had paid just a few Dollars. Looked at the postage, calculated - $0.60. Airmail! It came from a seamstress who appears to specialize in cloth name tags. The shipping cost discrepancy alone puts similar seamstresses in the US out of business. Given that the cost of living, and salaries, are as much as five times cheaper in China than in the U.S. how is changing the mailing costs going to effect sales? The ships and aircraft aren't going to be operable at five times less. Certainly ships are noticeably cheaper to operate if they are NOT U.S. flag vessels. Aircraft? I'm not sure but I would bet that crew costs are noticeably cheaper and almost certainly maintenance costs are cheaper and I would guess if a national carrier in China that fuel costs are also cheaper. Nope. They pretty much pay international (for example Singapore) prices: http://www.edisoninvestmentresearch....ID=18116&LANG= China Post flies Boeing and I can hardly imagine that they get spare parts and service a whole lot cheaper than anyone else whose fleet consist of Boeing aircraft. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China_Postal_Airlines You seem to assume that Boeing parts are all that enter into maintaining an airplane. Wrong. The engines, for example, can be overhauled and labour, facilities and equipment are a large part of the cost of the overhaul. The airframe maintenance is also largely a matter of facilities, labour and equipment. Ah yes, and of course Rolls-Royce sells their engine parts and service to the Chinese at an 80% discount ... To be honest I don't know how Rolls sells their jet engines but I do know that the U.S. engine makers sold their engines to the USAF much cheaper then they sold the same engines to commercial users. The Pentagon will get the usual qualtity discount but not 80-90%. With China Post (and many others) versus USPS we are talking factors of 5:1 to 10:1 here. That difference is not found in the equipment. Nope, according to the GE rep the USAF got their engines cheaper because they did not demand any form of guarantee. How _much_ cheaper? But I am sure that you know that jet engines are manufactured in China? CFN International, a joint venture between GE and SAFRAN Group. CFM has already delivered 20,000 engines over four decades, making it the most popular airline jet engine ever. In fact, a CFM-powered airplane takes off every 2.5 seconds. Perhaps they aren't using Rolls engines :-) No, but they aren't selling the engines and the service for 1/10th of the price. Hey! I was in the business of maintaining airplanes for my uncle for 20 years and the normal maintenance manpower for a fleet of airplanes was several hundred people. All of whom are five times cheaper in China, and the equipment, tools maintenance stands, buildings, all cheaper in China. Your uncle probably didn't fly Boeings or Airbuses internationally. Those companies require quite strict procedures or they will call off all bets. Nope. The companies that make airplanes usually offer a number of what one might call "standard" versions, for example number of passenger seats or number of crew positions. Indonesia for example bought Boeing aircraft with only two crew positions when other companies were buying three crew configurations. And once you buy the thing, test flown and accepted, the aircraft belongs to you and Boeing or Airbus no longer have anything to say about it. The air traffic regulator in the respective countries has a word to say about that. They usually require maintenance per the book, per manufacturer's instructions. There is no "Oh, let's use that aftermarket part here because the original is too expensive". You don't follow those rules, you lose cert. Some countries are a bit loose here and then it can happen (and has) that the FAA prohibits their aircraft from coming into US air space. Rightfully so. Nope again. Yes various countries do attempt to control the quality (for want of a better word) of aircraft flying into their country but "after market" parts are not forbidden as innumerable different manufacturers make airplane parts. Only if approved for type and model. Supplemental Type Certificate or STC. I know a little about this stuff because I am sometimes designing electronics for aircraft and while doing that I am a consultant to third party companies, not to an aircraft manufacturer (except once) . What does happen is that all aircraft parts must be approved - I think that they call it "type approved" for aircraft use - and as long as that is documented then there is no question that it can be used. See? [...] When I was in Indonesia we were approached by a group of Indonesian Airforce people to see if we could improve the maintenance on their helicopters. We approached the helicopter makers about parts prices and were referred to their S.E.A. representative who, in effect, told us to get lost as they already hade a very nice arrangement to sell parts to the Indonesian air force at prices much higher then they were selling to private helicopter companies in the region. It does not explain a 5-10x factor between US and Chinese shipping costs. There is more going on, way deeper than equipment-related. Firstly you are saying "shipping costs" which imply moving substantial amounts of freight, trans-oceanic, by air or sea which is determined primarily by supply and demand, when what you are talking about is sending mail, rates for which is determined by the government of the country in which the mail is posted. Mail = shipping. When some buys a bearing for a vehcile front wheel or whatever in China it must be shipped. They generally use China Post for that. Which charges a small fractions of the cost to the shipper as the US Post Office does in the other direction. _That_ is the problem. This was greatly aggravated by the stupid decision to no longer offer surface mail overseas. Yes, because China is subsidizing the cost of shipping. That is what I am suspecting. ... Neither this president nor this administration is going to subsidize your shipping overseas. Not with USPS sucking-dry the general fund. If they are subsidizing then the US is justified in slapping a tariff on incoming goods via China Post in order to level the playing field. Simple. And why should I, the American public (I'm putting on my MAGA hat), pay more taxes to lower the cost of your shipping to China? You should pay what it costs and pass it on as a business expense. Or, as in the case of real businesses, you ship via container and pay the charge. The easy way of equalizing the imbalance is to apply a tariff to incoming Chinese goods equal to the difference in shipping costs. Exactly. And Trump is the first president in years to hint at that. Hey, maybe I'll give that idea to The Donald the next time I see him on the golf course. The answer is not making shipping cheap for you and causing the USPS to swirl further down the deficit drain. He already knows but fiorst has to deal with a nut case east of China.. I don't think he knows much of anything, really. One hopes he has good advisers (this week). Trade and tax policy is extremely complicated and accounts (at least in part) for many of the wars fought by this nation -- even before it was a nation, e.g. Barbary Pirates exacting "tariffs," import duty on tea, etc., etc. You don't tweet those kinds of policies. And if you were a true conservative, you'd be saying "why is the government running a postal service anyway? Shouldn't that be private market?" Then if you were a true free-marketer, you would ****-can all duties, tariffs and other impediments to trade. If that meant you, as some tiny manufacturer, lost overseas business or went out of business, then so be it. It's a mountain-lion-eat-mountain-lion world out there. It is not a fair place, and it never has been. Jay, really, what do you know about trade and tax policies? That is hardly your specialty I would warrant. I was the North American expert on the UN Convention on the International Sale of Goods (CISG) for about a day, or maybe or a week -- because of a footnote in one of my cases. http://cisgw3.law.pace.edu/cases/950412u1.html I get involved in trade and tax policy only incidentally. I have to get involved in the Jones Act and flagging issues, which has gotten into the news lately with the devastation in Puerto Rico, foreign supply of fuel to vessels. Mega Yachts made in Germany. This and that. http://cdn.ca9.uscourts.gov/datastor...9/13-35163.pdf You wanna talk about the wacky Ninth Circuit, try arguing to former Cheif Judge Kozinski. It's like getting a half-hour prostate exam. That was going to the USSC before we settled. I was proud of the cert petition in that case. I don't do any real tariff work except that I had to pay a duty for some wheels I bought from Wiggle before DHL would deliver them. What a rip-off! Order from PBK -- they tend to skip the whole duty thing. I've had to deal with the Foreign Sovereign Immunity Act suing Chinese corporations who are all state owned. Don't expect to get a quick settlement with some Chinese OE supplier or Chinese insurer. Totally OT, but what I find fascinating about suing the Chinese is that they never speak English at deposition or trial. All testimony is given with great effort through an interpreter -- who always seems to be the wrong interpreter, Cantonese versus Mandarin, etc., etc. Anyway, the second the guy (always a guy) is done, and he's walking out with his attorney, I can hear him speaking English and saying things like "hey, let's go get some hookers." Something you might be a great deal more educated about - exactly what is the limit in small claims court in California, Alameda County? It looks like the insurance company for that woman who ran into and totaled my parked car is simply planning on doing nothing at all. That would require work on my part -- and I'm prohibited from practicing law in California. It should be available on the internet. It is! http://www.dca.ca.gov/publications/s...ims/file.shtml -- Jay Beattie. |
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Buying and Selling
On 9/28/2017 5:11 PM, jbeattie wrote:
On Thursday, September 28, 2017 at 1:58:41 PM UTC-7, wrote: On Thursday, September 28, 2017 at 8:25:06 AM UTC-7, jbeattie wrote: On Thursday, September 28, 2017 at 7:30:44 AM UTC-7, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-27 11:37, jbeattie wrote: On Wednesday, September 27, 2017 at 7:18:35 AM UTC-7, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-26 19:39, John B. wrote: On Tue, 26 Sep 2017 07:26:12 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-25 19:23, John B. wrote: On Mon, 25 Sep 2017 07:06:25 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-24 17:01, John B. wrote: On Sun, 24 Sep 2017 07:34:50 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-23 20:52, John B. wrote: On Sat, 23 Sep 2017 08:15:14 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-22 19:03, John B. wrote: On Fri, 22 Sep 2017 12:36:31 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-19 19:44, sms wrote: On 9/19/2017 6:52 PM, somebody wrote: On 2017-09-19 07:06, wrote: snip Or the brake pads from China, $2/pair and free ship. As I have always said the postage fees are grossly lopsided between Asia and the US and that is one of the core reasosn for our trade deficit. Except that most politicians (except manybe one ...) do not understand that. It's an international reciprocal postal treaty that no one worried about when it was mainly U.S. residents of Chinese descent sending packages to relatives in China. More than a decade ago tyat has changed, big time. How long does it take for politicians to turn on their brains? Or for some of them, do they even have one? ... The origin country gets all the postage and the destination country gets nothing with the assumption that the volume will be roughly equal. The small volume of direct-to-consumer low-value items from China is not a core reason for the trade deficit. It is rising, big time. I know people who buy just about anything other than groceries on EBay. When they say "Oh, it always gets here in three to five weeks" you know what's going on. Heck, I even had stuff I bought on Amazon come via "China Post". ... These items would still come into the U.S. through other channels, at higher prices, were it not so cheap to do international shipping from China, you'd just have a middleman. Same reason. The stuff then comes in bulk but the shipping charges are grossly lower than if a US vendor sent the same items to Asia. It isn't just China. For example, when we needed name tags for our therapy dogs' vests (for nursing home visits) we ordered them via Amazon. A small package arrived from Manila, Philippines. I couldn't believe it considering that we had paid just a few Dollars. Looked at the postage, calculated - $0.60. Airmail! It came from a seamstress who appears to specialize in cloth name tags. The shipping cost discrepancy alone puts similar seamstresses in the US out of business. Given that the cost of living, and salaries, are as much as five times cheaper in China than in the U.S. how is changing the mailing costs going to effect sales? The ships and aircraft aren't going to be operable at five times less. Certainly ships are noticeably cheaper to operate if they are NOT U.S. flag vessels. Aircraft? I'm not sure but I would bet that crew costs are noticeably cheaper and almost certainly maintenance costs are cheaper and I would guess if a national carrier in China that fuel costs are also cheaper. Nope. They pretty much pay international (for example Singapore) prices: http://www.edisoninvestmentresearch....ID=18116&LANG= China Post flies Boeing and I can hardly imagine that they get spare parts and service a whole lot cheaper than anyone else whose fleet consist of Boeing aircraft. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China_Postal_Airlines You seem to assume that Boeing parts are all that enter into maintaining an airplane. Wrong. The engines, for example, can be overhauled and labour, facilities and equipment are a large part of the cost of the overhaul. The airframe maintenance is also largely a matter of facilities, labour and equipment. Ah yes, and of course Rolls-Royce sells their engine parts and service to the Chinese at an 80% discount ... To be honest I don't know how Rolls sells their jet engines but I do know that the U.S. engine makers sold their engines to the USAF much cheaper then they sold the same engines to commercial users. The Pentagon will get the usual qualtity discount but not 80-90%. With China Post (and many others) versus USPS we are talking factors of 5:1 to 10:1 here. That difference is not found in the equipment. Nope, according to the GE rep the USAF got their engines cheaper because they did not demand any form of guarantee. How _much_ cheaper? But I am sure that you know that jet engines are manufactured in China? CFN International, a joint venture between GE and SAFRAN Group. CFM has already delivered 20,000 engines over four decades, making it the most popular airline jet engine ever. In fact, a CFM-powered airplane takes off every 2.5 seconds. Perhaps they aren't using Rolls engines :-) No, but they aren't selling the engines and the service for 1/10th of the price. Hey! I was in the business of maintaining airplanes for my uncle for 20 years and the normal maintenance manpower for a fleet of airplanes was several hundred people. All of whom are five times cheaper in China, and the equipment, tools maintenance stands, buildings, all cheaper in China. Your uncle probably didn't fly Boeings or Airbuses internationally. Those companies require quite strict procedures or they will call off all bets. Nope. The companies that make airplanes usually offer a number of what one might call "standard" versions, for example number of passenger seats or number of crew positions. Indonesia for example bought Boeing aircraft with only two crew positions when other companies were buying three crew configurations. And once you buy the thing, test flown and accepted, the aircraft belongs to you and Boeing or Airbus no longer have anything to say about it. The air traffic regulator in the respective countries has a word to say about that. They usually require maintenance per the book, per manufacturer's instructions. There is no "Oh, let's use that aftermarket part here because the original is too expensive". You don't follow those rules, you lose cert. Some countries are a bit loose here and then it can happen (and has) that the FAA prohibits their aircraft from coming into US air space. Rightfully so. Nope again. Yes various countries do attempt to control the quality (for want of a better word) of aircraft flying into their country but "after market" parts are not forbidden as innumerable different manufacturers make airplane parts. Only if approved for type and model. Supplemental Type Certificate or STC. I know a little about this stuff because I am sometimes designing electronics for aircraft and while doing that I am a consultant to third party companies, not to an aircraft manufacturer (except once) . What does happen is that all aircraft parts must be approved - I think that they call it "type approved" for aircraft use - and as long as that is documented then there is no question that it can be used. See? [...] When I was in Indonesia we were approached by a group of Indonesian Airforce people to see if we could improve the maintenance on their helicopters. We approached the helicopter makers about parts prices and were referred to their S.E.A. representative who, in effect, told us to get lost as they already hade a very nice arrangement to sell parts to the Indonesian air force at prices much higher then they were selling to private helicopter companies in the region. It does not explain a 5-10x factor between US and Chinese shipping costs. There is more going on, way deeper than equipment-related. Firstly you are saying "shipping costs" which imply moving substantial amounts of freight, trans-oceanic, by air or sea which is determined primarily by supply and demand, when what you are talking about is sending mail, rates for which is determined by the government of the country in which the mail is posted. Mail = shipping. When some buys a bearing for a vehcile front wheel or whatever in China it must be shipped. They generally use China Post for that. Which charges a small fractions of the cost to the shipper as the US Post Office does in the other direction. _That_ is the problem. This was greatly aggravated by the stupid decision to no longer offer surface mail overseas. Yes, because China is subsidizing the cost of shipping. That is what I am suspecting. ... Neither this president nor this administration is going to subsidize your shipping overseas. Not with USPS sucking-dry the general fund. If they are subsidizing then the US is justified in slapping a tariff on incoming goods via China Post in order to level the playing field. Simple. And why should I, the American public (I'm putting on my MAGA hat), pay more taxes to lower the cost of your shipping to China? You should pay what it costs and pass it on as a business expense. Or, as in the case of real businesses, you ship via container and pay the charge. The easy way of equalizing the imbalance is to apply a tariff to incoming Chinese goods equal to the difference in shipping costs. Exactly. And Trump is the first president in years to hint at that. Hey, maybe I'll give that idea to The Donald the next time I see him on the golf course. The answer is not making shipping cheap for you and causing the USPS to swirl further down the deficit drain. He already knows but fiorst has to deal with a nut case east of China. I don't think he knows much of anything, really. One hopes he has good advisers (this week). Trade and tax policy is extremely complicated and accounts (at least in part) for many of the wars fought by this nation -- even before it was a nation, e.g. Barbary Pirates exacting "tariffs," import duty on tea, etc., etc. You don't tweet those kinds of policies. And if you were a true conservative, you'd be saying "why is the government running a postal service anyway? Shouldn't that be private market?" Then if you were a true free-marketer, you would ****-can all duties, tariffs and other impediments to trade. If that meant you, as some tiny manufacturer, lost overseas business or went out of business, then so be it. It's a mountain-lion-eat-mountain-lion world out there. It is not a fair place, and it never has been. Jay, really, what do you know about trade and tax policies? That is hardly your specialty I would warrant. I was the North American expert on the UN Convention on the International Sale of Goods (CISG) for about a day, or maybe or a week -- because of a footnote in one of my cases. http://cisgw3.law.pace.edu/cases/950412u1.html I get involved in trade and tax policy only incidentally. I have to get involved in the Jones Act and flagging issues, which has gotten into the news lately with the devastation in Puerto Rico, foreign supply of fuel to vessels. Mega Yachts made in Germany. This and that. http://cdn.ca9.uscourts.gov/datastor...9/13-35163.pdf You wanna talk about the wacky Ninth Circuit, try arguing to former Cheif Judge Kozinski. It's like getting a half-hour prostate exam. That was going to the USSC before we settled. I was proud of the cert petition in that case. I don't do any real tariff work except that I had to pay a duty for some wheels I bought from Wiggle before DHL would deliver them. What a rip-off! Order from PBK -- they tend to skip the whole duty thing. I've had to deal with the Foreign Sovereign Immunity Act suing Chinese corporations who are all state owned. Don't expect to get a quick settlement with some Chinese OE supplier or Chinese insurer. Totally OT, but what I find fascinating about suing the Chinese is that they never speak English at deposition or trial. All testimony is given with great effort through an interpreter -- who always seems to be the wrong interpreter, Cantonese versus Mandarin, etc., etc. Anyway, the second the guy (always a guy) is done, and he's walking out with his attorney, I can hear him speaking English and saying things like "hey, let's go get some hookers." Something you might be a great deal more educated about - exactly what is the limit in small claims court in California, Alameda County? It looks like the insurance company for that woman who ran into and totaled my parked car is simply planning on doing nothing at all. That would require work on my part -- and I'm prohibited from practicing law in California. It should be available on the internet. It is! http://www.dca.ca.gov/publications/s...ims/file.shtml -- Jay Beattie. While I do not always disagree (just usually) with Alex Kosinsky, isn't his reputation and body of work enough to get a summary decision on change of venue? He's a flake. -- Andrew Muzi www.yellowjersey.org/ Open every day since 1 April, 1971 |
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Buying and Selling
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