|
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#291
|
|||
|
|||
State your opinion on COVID-19
On 5/18/2020 8:02 PM, John B. wrote:
On Mon, 18 May 2020 18:50:09 -0500, AMuzi wrote: On 5/18/2020 5:20 PM, John B. wrote: On Mon, 18 May 2020 10:27:38 -0700 (PDT), wrote: On Sunday, May 17, 2020 at 12:14:45 PM UTC-7, Ralph Barone wrote: wrote: Ralph, the normal deaths in the population is 16.4 per 100,000 per week. The present death rate is 16.7. It is a complicated measurement since so many people are presently dying because of auto deaths, suicides, delayed surgeries and a sudden increase in deaths from alcoholism. Some units or additional context in your first posting would have been nice. The important thing is that I GAVE you the rates of deaths and during this so-called "Crisis" that additional deaths are only 1,500 or so and not 80,000+. This illness is hardly worse that a bad cold and while they are screaming "KEEP THE SHUTDOWN" infections and deaths are dropping. It is a false report that "infections are increasing" because all that means is that more testing is being accomplished and hence more positives are showing up. Now remember what I said about this being pure bull**** from the CDC and then look at this chart from John's Hopkins school of medicine https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data/new-cases The other countries on this map have no political points to make and so this misreporting of new cases or deaths due to the Wuhan Virus isn't necessary. In 1861 - 1865 the U.S. fought the "Civil War, said to be the deadliest war in U.S. History, when some 755,000 were killed. In simple terms the death rate was 550 a week or 78.57 per day. In 1955 - 1975 the U.S. Engaged in the Vietnam "war" and while some 58,209 died in total during the "war" 1968 proved to be the most deadly with some 16,899 dying, or a rate of 46 per day. It is of interest to note that these figures were great enough to panic the U.S. and up to 20,000 fled the country to avoid serving in the Military and "being sent to Vietnam to die". The first death recorded in the U.S. due to the current Coronavirus pandemic was on, in the U.S., seems to have been on 1 march, and as of May 18, 2020, 21:57 GMT, some 79 days later, 91,730 had died, a casualty rate of 1,161 a day. It would appear that the current virus pandemic, based on death rates as is done in time of war, is the most catastrophic event in the history of the United States. The losses in 'our recent unpleasantness' was from a much smaller population, something just over 30 million altogether in 1860. The Hong Kong 1969 influenza however killed som e100 thousand of a US population just over 200 million (versus about 330 million today.) While I do not dispute your numbers I think that you misrepresent the picture. But perhaps I'm wrong. So tell us why so many were running to Canada to avoid a death rate of 46/day during the worst year of the so called war? It might also be noted that only about 30% of the troops stationed in Vietnam were draftees. Or why one reads in the news about numbers of deaths in Afghanistan or Iraq or any of the other strange places that the U.S. seems to have "invaded". After all in terms of the U.S. population they are, well, not even peanuts. Rationalize it anyway that makes you feel better, but the fact remains that death rates, to date, due to the virus outnumber losses due to combat by a factor of ~200% in the worst war that the U.S. ever fought and a factor of 400% over any war in living memory. I might add that you have, in the past, enumerated the deaths in U.S. hospitals as tragedies. You didn't say "But what the Hell! They were only 0.06% of the population". Or bicycle deaths. Good Lord! They seem to be about 800 a year, but to be safe lets call it 900 annually. Or about 0.0002% by population, certainly such a low percentage can be safely ignored. -- cheers, John B. I don't know how many men actually absconded to Canada. My memory of it was 'all hat, no cattle' but I don't know. -- Andrew Muzi www.yellowjersey.org/ Open every day since 1 April, 1971 |
Ads |
#292
|
|||
|
|||
Gravel bikes
On 5/18/2020 9:51 PM, news18 wrote:
On Mon, 18 May 2020 21:42:56 -0400, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/18/2020 6:38 PM, James wrote: I bought a gravel bike so that I have more variety of routes and places to explore.Â* I often ride a mix of bitumen and gravel, and the MTB is just a slug on bitumen.Â* Furthermore my gravel bike has 3 water bottles in the main triangle, which is really handy around here in hot weather. It's also good for towing my shopping trailer. I certainly agree about mountain bikes being "slugs" on paved roads. If you ride nobbies. I have a friend who is not an avid cyclist, although he did some 1000 mile camping tours when much younger. He likes riding under a full moon, and usually invites me to ride with him. I use one of my road bikes, he uses his mountain bike. In fact, he uses it everywhere, except off road. He has no interest in riding on dirt. At one time, he mentioned that he still had his 1970s Trek touring bike, but it needed lots of work. I said that bike would be much more appropriate for his riding and offered to overhaul it for him. And I put many hours into a complete overhaul. (I may have mentioned having to disassemble the Campy touring rear derailleur to get it working.) He came to get the completed bike, test rode it once around my block and said he didn't like it. It didn't feel stable enough for him. AFAIK he's never ridden it since. Did you set it up for racing or touring? I set it up as it was. Admittedly, he had narrow rims and tires - I don't remember the size, but narrower than the 28s or 32s I usually ride. I suggested going wider, but he's not interested in spending the money. I think he's a man of small budget. I've suggested he at least get slick road tires for his mountain bike, but so far he's resisted even that. Ah well! Based on experience, I won't tour with some one using slicks. They are always first off the cab for lone cyclist accidents. Loss of traction and they are flat on the deck. YMMV. Really? My wife and I rode Avocet slicks as long as we could get them. She still has them on one bike. No traction problems at all. So I guess our M does V. -- - Frank Krygowski |
#293
|
|||
|
|||
Gravel bikes
On Monday, May 18, 2020 at 7:21:25 PM UTC-7, Frank Krygowski wrote:
On 5/18/2020 9:51 PM, news18 wrote: On Mon, 18 May 2020 21:42:56 -0400, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/18/2020 6:38 PM, James wrote: I bought a gravel bike so that I have more variety of routes and places to explore.Â* I often ride a mix of bitumen and gravel, and the MTB is just a slug on bitumen.Â* Furthermore my gravel bike has 3 water bottles in the main triangle, which is really handy around here in hot weather. |
#294
|
|||
|
|||
State your opinion on COVID-19
On Mon, 18 May 2020 20:59:24 -0500, AMuzi wrote:
On 5/18/2020 8:02 PM, John B. wrote: On Mon, 18 May 2020 18:50:09 -0500, AMuzi wrote: On 5/18/2020 5:20 PM, John B. wrote: On Mon, 18 May 2020 10:27:38 -0700 (PDT), wrote: On Sunday, May 17, 2020 at 12:14:45 PM UTC-7, Ralph Barone wrote: wrote: Ralph, the normal deaths in the population is 16.4 per 100,000 per week. The present death rate is 16.7. It is a complicated measurement since so many people are presently dying because of auto deaths, suicides, delayed surgeries and a sudden increase in deaths from alcoholism. Some units or additional context in your first posting would have been nice. The important thing is that I GAVE you the rates of deaths and during this so-called "Crisis" that additional deaths are only 1,500 or so and not 80,000+. This illness is hardly worse that a bad cold and while they are screaming "KEEP THE SHUTDOWN" infections and deaths are dropping. It is a false report that "infections are increasing" because all that means is that more testing is being accomplished and hence more positives are showing up. Now remember what I said about this being pure bull**** from the CDC and then look at this chart from John's Hopkins school of medicine https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data/new-cases The other countries on this map have no political points to make and so this misreporting of new cases or deaths due to the Wuhan Virus isn't necessary. In 1861 - 1865 the U.S. fought the "Civil War, said to be the deadliest war in U.S. History, when some 755,000 were killed. In simple terms the death rate was 550 a week or 78.57 per day. In 1955 - 1975 the U.S. Engaged in the Vietnam "war" and while some 58,209 died in total during the "war" 1968 proved to be the most deadly with some 16,899 dying, or a rate of 46 per day. It is of interest to note that these figures were great enough to panic the U.S. and up to 20,000 fled the country to avoid serving in the Military and "being sent to Vietnam to die". The first death recorded in the U.S. due to the current Coronavirus pandemic was on, in the U.S., seems to have been on 1 march, and as of May 18, 2020, 21:57 GMT, some 79 days later, 91,730 had died, a casualty rate of 1,161 a day. It would appear that the current virus pandemic, based on death rates as is done in time of war, is the most catastrophic event in the history of the United States. The losses in 'our recent unpleasantness' was from a much smaller population, something just over 30 million altogether in 1860. The Hong Kong 1969 influenza however killed som e100 thousand of a US population just over 200 million (versus about 330 million today.) While I do not dispute your numbers I think that you misrepresent the picture. But perhaps I'm wrong. So tell us why so many were running to Canada to avoid a death rate of 46/day during the worst year of the so called war? It might also be noted that only about 30% of the troops stationed in Vietnam were draftees. Or why one reads in the news about numbers of deaths in Afghanistan or Iraq or any of the other strange places that the U.S. seems to have "invaded". After all in terms of the U.S. population they are, well, not even peanuts. Rationalize it anyway that makes you feel better, but the fact remains that death rates, to date, due to the virus outnumber losses due to combat by a factor of ~200% in the worst war that the U.S. ever fought and a factor of 400% over any war in living memory. I might add that you have, in the past, enumerated the deaths in U.S. hospitals as tragedies. You didn't say "But what the Hell! They were only 0.06% of the population". Or bicycle deaths. Good Lord! They seem to be about 800 a year, but to be safe lets call it 900 annually. Or about 0.0002% by population, certainly such a low percentage can be safely ignored. -- cheers, John B. I don't know how many men actually absconded to Canada. My memory of it was 'all hat, no cattle' but I don't know. http://www.vcn.bc.ca/~jjones/hstrnt.html state that: "A great variety of numbers are repeated with little investigation or justification. Citation of a person or a publication just puts at one remove the question of where the figures came from. The only reliable answer is that tens of thousands of draft resisters and deserters came to Canada during the Vietnam War. As will be seen, any more specific assertion involves assumption or speculation. The quest for a more specific quantity fragments into the following set of questions." But I, personally, don't know as I was "over there" making the world safe from communism, or so I was once told :-( -- cheers, John B. |
#295
|
|||
|
|||
Gravel bikes
On 5/18/2020 7:56 PM, jbeattie wrote:
On Monday, May 18, 2020 at 7:21:25 PM UTC-7, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/18/2020 9:51 PM, news18 wrote: On Mon, 18 May 2020 21:42:56 -0400, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/18/2020 6:38 PM, James wrote: I bought a gravel bike so that I have more variety of routes and places to explore.Â* I often ride a mix of bitumen and gravel, and the MTB is just a slug on bitumen.Â* Furthermore my gravel bike has 3 water bottles in the main triangle, which is really handy around here in hot weather. It's also good for towing my shopping trailer. I certainly agree about mountain bikes being "slugs" on paved roads. If you ride nobbies. I have a friend who is not an avid cyclist, although he did some 1000 mile camping tours when much younger. He likes riding under a full moon, and usually invites me to ride with him. I use one of my road bikes, he uses his mountain bike. In fact, he uses it everywhere, except off road. He has no interest in riding on dirt. At one time, he mentioned that he still had his 1970s Trek touring bike, but it needed lots of work. I said that bike would be much more appropriate for his riding and offered to overhaul it for him. And I put many hours into a complete overhaul. (I may have mentioned having to disassemble the Campy touring rear derailleur to get it working.) He came to get the completed bike, test rode it once around my block and said he didn't like it. It didn't feel stable enough for him. AFAIK he's never ridden it since. Did you set it up for racing or touring? I set it up as it was. Admittedly, he had narrow rims and tires - I don't remember the size, but narrower than the 28s or 32s I usually ride. I suggested going wider, but he's not interested in spending the money. I think he's a man of small budget. I've suggested he at least get slick road tires for his mountain bike, but so far he's resisted even that. Ah well! Based on experience, I won't tour with some one using slicks. They are always first off the cab for lone cyclist accidents. Loss of traction and they are flat on the deck. YMMV. Really? My wife and I rode Avocet slicks as long as we could get them. She still has them on one bike. No traction problems at all. So I guess our M does V. I ride thousands of miles a year in the rain and think slicks are the best choice for road riding, although I use a modest treaded tire like a Zaffiro or Pasella during fall because of the leaves. Slicks suck on slippery surfaces like mud, rocks, wet grass, etc., -- obviously. I stuck some Ritchey Tom Slick 1.4" tires on my mountain bike for dry weather pavement and gravel riding. As their web site states, "Ritchey's Tom Slick is the original gravel monster. With deep, grip-boosting VFAâ„¢ grooves and a tough Stronghold reinforced casing, these tires are what you want when the ride keeps going after the pavement ends." I don't think that I need a separate gravel bike. Only one set of bottle braze-ons but I'm using a BBB Fueltank XL holder which can hold a 1.5 liter bottle very securely https://www.amazon.com/dp/B002S3JX7I/. |
#297
|
|||
|
|||
State your opinion on COVID-19
On Tue, 19 May 2020 12:40:58 -0700, cyclintom wrote:
Are we to accept the words of an umemployed college teacher who among other things can tell someone in another state 2,000 miles away that a tree branch wasn't overhanging the road and head level? Google street view. They always catch my lawn when it is unmown. |
#298
|
|||
|
|||
State your opinion on COVID-19
On 5/19/2020 3:40 PM, wrote:
On Monday, May 18, 2020 at 3:50:32 PM UTC-7, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/18/2020 4:52 PM, wrote: As I've explained several times, the actual measurements of deaths are so wildly different from country to country that you can't possibly reach any decisions based on that statistic. Then what source of data are we to use if we want to really understand the effects of this virus? Are we to accept only the "data" given without references by an unemployed high school dropout? Is that the best there is? Are we to accept the words of an umemployed college teacher who among other things can tell someone in another state 2,000 miles away that a tree branch wasn't overhanging the road and head level? There's a difference between being retired (as I am) and being unemployed (as you are, Tom). I'm not looking for a job. I don't need one, so I've turned down requests to work. You've complained about grocery prices and complained that nobody will hire you. One major difference is that I never, ever complain about grocery prices. https://www.foxnews.com/us/colorado-...us-death-count https://www.foxnews.com/politics/bir...dless-of-cause Hmm. So instead of listening to an unemployed high school dropout, we should listen to Fox News, where the dropout gets most of his ideas? Wow. But what's your point? If Colorado's count is "only" 878 instead of just over 1000, do you pretend 878 deaths is no problem? https://www.pennlive.com/coronavirus...us-deaths.html Uh huh. Three COVID deaths the the coroners didn't hear of, because of a change in reporting practices. And the significance is... ? How about we go directly to the CDC? How about you give a link directly to the CDC? CDC Weekly COVID-19 Death Counts Week ending date | COVID-19 Deaths | Deaths from All Causes | Percent of Expected Deaths Feb. 1 0 56,557 95 Feb. 8 0 57,067 96 Feb. 15 0 56,079 95 Feb. 22 0 55,605 96 Feb. 29 5 54,900 96 March 7 19 54,222 94 March 14 44 52,187 91 March 21 447 51,428 91 March 28 2,205 51,602 92 April 4* 4,462 46,917 84 April 11* 2,499 22,012 40 https://www.thinkadvisor.com/2020/04...w-average-cdc/ Of course the website could be misstating the information from the CDC but just try and discover this table at the CDC site... Well, that's what most of us would do if we were trying to quote official numbers. But then, most of had to do that sort of thing for term papers in order to graduate from high school. So what's your point? That there really aren't any COVID deaths? That it's only a few dozen? That there would not have been any more deaths if isolation policies had not been imposed? -- - Frank Krygowski |
#299
|
|||
|
|||
State your opinion on COVID-19
On Tue, 19 May 2020 22:27:12 -0400, Frank Krygowski
wrote: On 5/19/2020 3:40 PM, wrote: On Monday, May 18, 2020 at 3:50:32 PM UTC-7, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/18/2020 4:52 PM, wrote: As I've explained several times, the actual measurements of deaths are so wildly different from country to country that you can't possibly reach any decisions based on that statistic. Then what source of data are we to use if we want to really understand the effects of this virus? Are we to accept only the "data" given without references by an unemployed high school dropout? Is that the best there is? Are we to accept the words of an umemployed college teacher who among other things can tell someone in another state 2,000 miles away that a tree branch wasn't overhanging the road and head level? There's a difference between being retired (as I am) and being unemployed (as you are, Tom). I'm not looking for a job. I don't need one, so I've turned down requests to work. You've complained about grocery prices and complained that nobody will hire you. One major difference is that I never, ever complain about grocery prices. https://www.foxnews.com/us/colorado-...us-death-count https://www.foxnews.com/politics/bir...dless-of-cause Hmm. So instead of listening to an unemployed high school dropout, we should listen to Fox News, where the dropout gets most of his ideas? Wow. But what's your point? If Colorado's count is "only" 878 instead of just over 1000, do you pretend 878 deaths is no problem? https://www.pennlive.com/coronavirus...us-deaths.html Uh huh. Three COVID deaths the the coroners didn't hear of, because of a change in reporting practices. And the significance is... ? How about we go directly to the CDC? How about you give a link directly to the CDC? CDC Weekly COVID-19 Death Counts Week ending date | COVID-19 Deaths | Deaths from All Causes | Percent of Expected Deaths Feb. 1 0 56,557 95 Feb. 8 0 57,067 96 Feb. 15 0 56,079 95 Feb. 22 0 55,605 96 Feb. 29 5 54,900 96 March 7 19 54,222 94 March 14 44 52,187 91 March 21 447 51,428 91 March 28 2,205 51,602 92 April 4* 4,462 46,917 84 April 11* 2,499 22,012 40 https://www.thinkadvisor.com/2020/04...w-average-cdc/ Of course the website could be misstating the information from the CDC but just try and discover this table at the CDC site... Well, that's what most of us would do if we were trying to quote official numbers. But then, most of had to do that sort of thing for term papers in order to graduate from high school. So what's your point? That there really aren't any COVID deaths? That it's only a few dozen? That there would not have been any more deaths if isolation policies had not been imposed? Well, quite obviously you just don't understand Frank. The whole Covid thing is a vast conspiracy to prevent The Golden God from being elected President for Life, in according to the secret instructions contained in the Constitution. At present it seems to be a conspiracy between the Democrats and some little green people, possibly from Mars, however it is expected that further investigation will reveal additional conspirators. Currently Tinkers, Tailors, Solders and Sailors are being considered as "persons of interest" but rich men and poor men will certainly not be overlooked. And of course Doctors and Lawyers are always worthy of investigation. But we are trying to keep this quiet until we "get the goods on them" so don't be blathering this all over the Internet. -- cheers, John B. |
#300
|
|||
|
|||
State your opinion on COVID-19
On Tuesday, May 19, 2020 at 7:27:15 PM UTC-7, Frank Krygowski wrote:
On 5/19/2020 3:40 PM, wrote: On Monday, May 18, 2020 at 3:50:32 PM UTC-7, Frank Krygowski wrote: On 5/18/2020 4:52 PM, wrote: As I've explained several times, the actual measurements of deaths are so wildly different from country to country that you can't possibly reach any decisions based on that statistic. Then what source of data are we to use if we want to really understand the effects of this virus? Are we to accept only the "data" given without references by an unemployed high school dropout? Is that the best there is? Are we to accept the words of an umemployed college teacher who among other things can tell someone in another state 2,000 miles away that a tree branch wasn't overhanging the road and head level? There's a difference between being retired (as I am) and being unemployed (as you are, Tom). I'm not looking for a job. I don't need one, so I've turned down requests to work. You've complained about grocery prices and complained that nobody will hire you. One major difference is that I never, ever complain about grocery prices. https://www.foxnews.com/us/colorado-...us-death-count https://www.foxnews.com/politics/bir...dless-of-cause Hmm. So instead of listening to an unemployed high school dropout, we should listen to Fox News, where the dropout gets most of his ideas? Wow. But what's your point? If Colorado's count is "only" 878 instead of just over 1000, do you pretend 878 deaths is no problem? https://www.pennlive.com/coronavirus...us-deaths.html Uh huh. Three COVID deaths the the coroners didn't hear of, because of a change in reporting practices. And the significance is... ? How about we go directly to the CDC? How about you give a link directly to the CDC? CDC Weekly COVID-19 Death Counts Week ending date | COVID-19 Deaths | Deaths from All Causes | Percent of Expected Deaths Feb. 1 0 56,557 95 Feb. 8 0 57,067 96 Feb. 15 0 56,079 95 Feb. 22 0 55,605 96 Feb. 29 5 54,900 96 March 7 19 54,222 94 March 14 44 52,187 91 March 21 447 51,428 91 March 28 2,205 51,602 92 April 4* 4,462 46,917 84 April 11* 2,499 22,012 40 https://www.thinkadvisor.com/2020/04...w-average-cdc/ Of course the website could be misstating the information from the CDC but just try and discover this table at the CDC site... Well, that's what most of us would do if we were trying to quote official numbers. But then, most of had to do that sort of thing for term papers in order to graduate from high school. So what's your point? That there really aren't any COVID deaths? That it's only a few dozen? That there would not have been any more deaths if isolation policies had not been imposed? -- - Frank Krygowski Sure Frank, people are trying to fool you with numbers counter to the truth.. You, like my FBI friend who is hiding in his basement like Biden, has total and complete faith in that 90,000+ number. You and Jay would make a good couple. You both love to close your eyes to reality. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019...nchs-data.html If you look at the percentage of deaths as a percentage of the total deaths it is only 0.55%. Assuming that the next 6 weeks had what it supposedly level off at - 2400/week that would give us 2,400 x 6 = 14,865 + 5,000 (considering the incomplete data from the last two weeks) which is less than 20,000. This is far less than the 90,000 being reported no? The pneumonia deaths are unrelated to covid-19 as the historic graph proves. But it should be pretty obvious that they have to use a great many deaths from natural means to achieve that number. SO WHY ARE THEY DOING THIS? You don't think that this is entirely political in nature? That the people that are actually dying from this virus are those expected to die in this time anyway? Run back to your basement, the boogeyman is out to get you. |
Thread Tools | |
Display Modes | |
|
|
Similar Threads | ||||
Thread | Thread Starter | Forum | Replies | Last Post |
Who or what can beat COVID-19? Move into your sauna! | Andre Jute[_2_] | Techniques | 19 | March 22nd 20 10:06 PM |
Riding in the Age of COVID-19. | jbeattie | Techniques | 26 | March 18th 20 10:20 PM |
your opinion | birkes | Mountain Biking | 3 | June 9th 06 11:50 PM |
Your opinion | silverfridge | Unicycling | 7 | January 21st 06 02:57 AM |
Your opinion on this | Micheal Artindale | Mountain Biking | 3 | August 29th 04 10:08 PM |