#61
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Buying and Selling
On Monday, September 25, 2017 at 7:53:43 PM UTC-7, John B. wrote:
On Mon, 25 Sep 2017 15:50:54 -0500, AMuzi wrote: On 9/25/2017 2:42 PM, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-25 08:03, AMuzi wrote: On 9/25/2017 9:06 AM, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-24 17:01, John B. wrote: 24 Sep Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-23 20:52, John B. wrote: 23 Sep Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-22 19:03, John B. wrote: 22 Sep Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-19 19:44, sms wrote: On 9/19/2017 6:52 PM, somebody wrote: On 2017-09-19 07:06, wrote: snip -snip snip- Hey! I was in the business of maintaining airplanes for my uncle for 20 years and the normal maintenance manpower for a fleet of airplanes was several hundred people. All of whom are five times cheaper in China, and the equipment, tools maintenance stands, buildings, all cheaper in China. Your uncle probably didn't fly Boeings or Airbuses internationally. Those companies require quite strict procedures or they will call off all bets. -more snip- USAF, Navy, Marines & SAC fly LOTS of miles/hours. (no Airbus hardware!) Which of them has their aircraft serviced by a low cost shop in China or elsewhere? Mr Slocumb might elaborate but I bet no facility staffed by Uncle Sam's enlisted military, anywhere, is 'low cost'. Having observed some of the civilian "feather merchants" that inhabit the military system I suggest that perhaps, disregarding the physical installation, the Military might be the lower cost :-) But in a more sober vein the Military works on a budget system. the Defense Department allocates so much money to a Unit for, say aircraft fuel, and the Unit is then tasked with using all that fuel, as the byword in any government agency is "Never, Never under spend your budget!" The theory being that if you don't use all the money this year you will get less next year. First you give us the interesting theory that the Air Force doesn't do preventative maintenance (if it ain't broke don't fix it) followed by hundreds of Chinese "overhauling" F4's. I must say that at least your ideas are novel. |
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#62
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Buying and Selling
On 2017-09-25 19:23, John B. wrote:
On Mon, 25 Sep 2017 07:06:25 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-24 17:01, John B. wrote: On Sun, 24 Sep 2017 07:34:50 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-23 20:52, John B. wrote: On Sat, 23 Sep 2017 08:15:14 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-22 19:03, John B. wrote: On Fri, 22 Sep 2017 12:36:31 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-19 19:44, sms wrote: On 9/19/2017 6:52 PM, somebody wrote: On 2017-09-19 07:06, wrote: snip Or the brake pads from China, $2/pair and free ship. As I have always said the postage fees are grossly lopsided between Asia and the US and that is one of the core reasosn for our trade deficit. Except that most politicians (except manybe one ...) do not understand that. It's an international reciprocal postal treaty that no one worried about when it was mainly U.S. residents of Chinese descent sending packages to relatives in China. More than a decade ago tyat has changed, big time. How long does it take for politicians to turn on their brains? Or for some of them, do they even have one? ... The origin country gets all the postage and the destination country gets nothing with the assumption that the volume will be roughly equal. The small volume of direct-to-consumer low-value items from China is not a core reason for the trade deficit. It is rising, big time. I know people who buy just about anything other than groceries on EBay. When they say "Oh, it always gets here in three to five weeks" you know what's going on. Heck, I even had stuff I bought on Amazon come via "China Post". ... These items would still come into the U.S. through other channels, at higher prices, were it not so cheap to do international shipping from China, you'd just have a middleman. Same reason. The stuff then comes in bulk but the shipping charges are grossly lower than if a US vendor sent the same items to Asia. It isn't just China. For example, when we needed name tags for our therapy dogs' vests (for nursing home visits) we ordered them via Amazon. A small package arrived from Manila, Philippines. I couldn't believe it considering that we had paid just a few Dollars. Looked at the postage, calculated - $0.60. Airmail! It came from a seamstress who appears to specialize in cloth name tags. The shipping cost discrepancy alone puts similar seamstresses in the US out of business. Given that the cost of living, and salaries, are as much as five times cheaper in China than in the U.S. how is changing the mailing costs going to effect sales? The ships and aircraft aren't going to be operable at five times less. Certainly ships are noticeably cheaper to operate if they are NOT U.S. flag vessels. Aircraft? I'm not sure but I would bet that crew costs are noticeably cheaper and almost certainly maintenance costs are cheaper and I would guess if a national carrier in China that fuel costs are also cheaper. Nope. They pretty much pay international (for example Singapore) prices: http://www.edisoninvestmentresearch....ID=18116&LANG= China Post flies Boeing and I can hardly imagine that they get spare parts and service a whole lot cheaper than anyone else whose fleet consist of Boeing aircraft. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China_Postal_Airlines You seem to assume that Boeing parts are all that enter into maintaining an airplane. Wrong. The engines, for example, can be overhauled and labour, facilities and equipment are a large part of the cost of the overhaul. The airframe maintenance is also largely a matter of facilities, labour and equipment. Ah yes, and of course Rolls-Royce sells their engine parts and service to the Chinese at an 80% discount ... To be honest I don't know how Rolls sells their jet engines but I do know that the U.S. engine makers sold their engines to the USAF much cheaper then they sold the same engines to commercial users. The Pentagon will get the usual qualtity discount but not 80-90%. With China Post (and many others) versus USPS we are talking factors of 5:1 to 10:1 here. That difference is not found in the equipment. But I am sure that you know that jet engines are manufactured in China? CFN International, a joint venture between GE and SAFRAN Group. CFM has already delivered 20,000 engines over four decades, making it the most popular airline jet engine ever. In fact, a CFM-powered airplane takes off every 2.5 seconds. Perhaps they aren't using Rolls engines :-) No, but they aren't selling the engines and the service for 1/10th of the price. Hey! I was in the business of maintaining airplanes for my uncle for 20 years and the normal maintenance manpower for a fleet of airplanes was several hundred people. All of whom are five times cheaper in China, and the equipment, tools maintenance stands, buildings, all cheaper in China. Your uncle probably didn't fly Boeings or Airbuses internationally. Those companies require quite strict procedures or they will call off all bets. Nope. The companies that make airplanes usually offer a number of what one might call "standard" versions, for example number of passenger seats or number of crew positions. Indonesia for example bought Boeing aircraft with only two crew positions when other companies were buying three crew configurations. And once you buy the thing, test flown and accepted, the aircraft belongs to you and Boeing or Airbus no longer have anything to say about it. The air traffic regulator in the respective countries has a word to say about that. They usually require maintenance per the book, per manufacturer's instructions. There is no "Oh, let's use that aftermarket part here because the original is too expensive". You don't follow those rules, you lose cert. Some countries are a bit loose here and then it can happen (and has) that the FAA prohibits their aircraft from coming into US air space. Rightfully so. My wife's older sister and her son, his wife, and the grand kids visited Thailand about six months ago. The grandson, probably 19 years old, told me that he worked part time at "the dollar store" unloading trucks for $10 an hour. The current minimum salary in Thailand is 300 baht, about $9 a day. At today's exchange rate the U.S. salary, for coolie labour, is ~9 times the Thai salary. Think international for a minute. That changes things. International? Isn't Thailand and California international enough for you? See links above. Local wages are much less relevant when you consider international transport of good. Because someone has to pay the various transport sections, equipment, maintenance, et cetera. Many years ago I was peripherally involved in aircraft maintenance in Miami, Fla. and in those years there were many South American airplanes flying into Miami and every one of them would do everything that they could not to have any maintenance performed in los Estados Unidos as it was too expensive. Sure. However, the maintenance in Brasil or other places does not come at an 80-90% discount. It comes at a 20-30% discount, maybe. To a large extent because the parts cost the same. No the parts do not cost the same. Boeing may sell them for a standard price but aircraft operators do not stock whole airplanes for spare parts. They usually buy from middlemen who charge whatever the market will bear. Again, there isn't a 5:1 to 10:1 ratio in this like there is in shipping charges. When I was in Indonesia we were approached by a group of Indonesian Airforce people to see if we could improve the maintenance on their helicopters. We approached the helicopter makers about parts prices and were referred to their S.E.A. representative who, in effect, told us to get lost as they already hade a very nice arrangement to sell parts to the Indonesian air force at prices much higher then they were selling to private helicopter companies in the region. It does not explain a 5-10x factor between US and Chinese shipping costs. There is more going on, way deeper than equipment-related. Of course it is. It is a deep and dark conspiracy to defraud the American public out of their honestly earned money. To defeat this evil plot is simple. Stop buying China made items. Does not work. Go to a store, any store except food and such, and check the country of origin of merchandise. If you buy $17 brake pads at the LBS they come from the same country and sometimes even the manufacturer as the $2 ones bought via direct channels. -- Regards, Joerg http://www.analogconsultants.com/ |
#63
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Buying and Selling
On 2017-09-25 19:40, John B. wrote:
On Mon, 25 Sep 2017 12:42:43 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-25 08:03, AMuzi wrote: On 9/25/2017 9:06 AM, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-24 17:01, John B. wrote: 24 Sep Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-23 20:52, John B. wrote: 23 Sep Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-22 19:03, John B. wrote: 22 Sep Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-19 19:44, sms wrote: On 9/19/2017 6:52 PM, somebody wrote: On 2017-09-19 07:06, wrote: snip -snip snip- Hey! I was in the business of maintaining airplanes for my uncle for 20 years and the normal maintenance manpower for a fleet of airplanes was several hundred people. All of whom are five times cheaper in China, and the equipment, tools maintenance stands, buildings, all cheaper in China. Your uncle probably didn't fly Boeings or Airbuses internationally. Those companies require quite strict procedures or they will call off all bets. -more snip- USAF, Navy, Marines & SAC fly LOTS of miles/hours. (no Airbus hardware!) Which of them has their aircraft serviced by a low cost shop in China or elsewhere? Wrong again. In about 1967 there was a huge overhaul depot at Ching Chuan Kang Air Base (if I remember correctly) on Taiwan where hundreds of Chinese were busily overhauling F-4's. Sure they use local labor where they can. I grew up in Germany and the US forces did that there as well, I knew people who worked on the bases. That doesn't make the spare parts any cheaper. In fact, the operation of a military aircraft is usuall grossly more expensive than that of a similar civilian one, no matter which people you hire. -- Regards, Joerg http://www.analogconsultants.com/ |
#64
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Buying and Selling
On Tuesday, September 26, 2017 at 9:22:17 AM UTC-4, wrote:
Tell me, are you really that stupid? You have never learned that the green card program isn't immigration or protection of illegal aliens? Actually since you are continually making statements like this I suppose you really are that stupid. Wow. But on Monday, September 25, 2017 at 9:10:40 AM UTC-4, wrote: We all hear you declare time after time that everyone but you is stupid. Tom, I think your self-awareness is down to about zero. I don't think you realize how you look to others. - Frank Krygowski |
#65
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Buying and Selling
On Tuesday, September 26, 2017 at 9:02:37 AM UTC-7, Frank Krygowski wrote:
On Tuesday, September 26, 2017 at 9:22:17 AM UTC-4, wrote: Tell me, are you really that stupid? You have never learned that the green card program isn't immigration or protection of illegal aliens? Actually since you are continually making statements like this I suppose you really are that stupid. Wow. But on Monday, September 25, 2017 at 9:10:40 AM UTC-4, wrote: We all hear you declare time after time that everyone but you is stupid. Tom, I think your self-awareness is down to about zero. I don't think you realize how you look to others. - Frank Krygowski Frank - after the absolutely fathomless statements you make, particularly about mechanical engineering, you shouldn't talk about someone else. |
#66
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#68
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Buying and Selling
On Tue, 26 Sep 2017 07:26:12 -0700, Joerg
wrote: On 2017-09-25 19:23, John B. wrote: On Mon, 25 Sep 2017 07:06:25 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-24 17:01, John B. wrote: On Sun, 24 Sep 2017 07:34:50 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-23 20:52, John B. wrote: On Sat, 23 Sep 2017 08:15:14 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-22 19:03, John B. wrote: On Fri, 22 Sep 2017 12:36:31 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-19 19:44, sms wrote: On 9/19/2017 6:52 PM, somebody wrote: On 2017-09-19 07:06, wrote: snip Or the brake pads from China, $2/pair and free ship. As I have always said the postage fees are grossly lopsided between Asia and the US and that is one of the core reasosn for our trade deficit. Except that most politicians (except manybe one ...) do not understand that. It's an international reciprocal postal treaty that no one worried about when it was mainly U.S. residents of Chinese descent sending packages to relatives in China. More than a decade ago tyat has changed, big time. How long does it take for politicians to turn on their brains? Or for some of them, do they even have one? ... The origin country gets all the postage and the destination country gets nothing with the assumption that the volume will be roughly equal. The small volume of direct-to-consumer low-value items from China is not a core reason for the trade deficit. It is rising, big time. I know people who buy just about anything other than groceries on EBay. When they say "Oh, it always gets here in three to five weeks" you know what's going on. Heck, I even had stuff I bought on Amazon come via "China Post". ... These items would still come into the U.S. through other channels, at higher prices, were it not so cheap to do international shipping from China, you'd just have a middleman. Same reason. The stuff then comes in bulk but the shipping charges are grossly lower than if a US vendor sent the same items to Asia. It isn't just China. For example, when we needed name tags for our therapy dogs' vests (for nursing home visits) we ordered them via Amazon. A small package arrived from Manila, Philippines. I couldn't believe it considering that we had paid just a few Dollars. Looked at the postage, calculated - $0.60. Airmail! It came from a seamstress who appears to specialize in cloth name tags. The shipping cost discrepancy alone puts similar seamstresses in the US out of business. Given that the cost of living, and salaries, are as much as five times cheaper in China than in the U.S. how is changing the mailing costs going to effect sales? The ships and aircraft aren't going to be operable at five times less. Certainly ships are noticeably cheaper to operate if they are NOT U.S. flag vessels. Aircraft? I'm not sure but I would bet that crew costs are noticeably cheaper and almost certainly maintenance costs are cheaper and I would guess if a national carrier in China that fuel costs are also cheaper. Nope. They pretty much pay international (for example Singapore) prices: http://www.edisoninvestmentresearch....ID=18116&LANG= China Post flies Boeing and I can hardly imagine that they get spare parts and service a whole lot cheaper than anyone else whose fleet consist of Boeing aircraft. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China_Postal_Airlines You seem to assume that Boeing parts are all that enter into maintaining an airplane. Wrong. The engines, for example, can be overhauled and labour, facilities and equipment are a large part of the cost of the overhaul. The airframe maintenance is also largely a matter of facilities, labour and equipment. Ah yes, and of course Rolls-Royce sells their engine parts and service to the Chinese at an 80% discount ... To be honest I don't know how Rolls sells their jet engines but I do know that the U.S. engine makers sold their engines to the USAF much cheaper then they sold the same engines to commercial users. The Pentagon will get the usual qualtity discount but not 80-90%. With China Post (and many others) versus USPS we are talking factors of 5:1 to 10:1 here. That difference is not found in the equipment. Nope, according to the GE rep the USAF got their engines cheaper because they did not demand any form of guarantee. But I am sure that you know that jet engines are manufactured in China? CFN International, a joint venture between GE and SAFRAN Group. CFM has already delivered 20,000 engines over four decades, making it the most popular airline jet engine ever. In fact, a CFM-powered airplane takes off every 2.5 seconds. Perhaps they aren't using Rolls engines :-) No, but they aren't selling the engines and the service for 1/10th of the price. Hey! I was in the business of maintaining airplanes for my uncle for 20 years and the normal maintenance manpower for a fleet of airplanes was several hundred people. All of whom are five times cheaper in China, and the equipment, tools maintenance stands, buildings, all cheaper in China. Your uncle probably didn't fly Boeings or Airbuses internationally. Those companies require quite strict procedures or they will call off all bets. Nope. The companies that make airplanes usually offer a number of what one might call "standard" versions, for example number of passenger seats or number of crew positions. Indonesia for example bought Boeing aircraft with only two crew positions when other companies were buying three crew configurations. And once you buy the thing, test flown and accepted, the aircraft belongs to you and Boeing or Airbus no longer have anything to say about it. The air traffic regulator in the respective countries has a word to say about that. They usually require maintenance per the book, per manufacturer's instructions. There is no "Oh, let's use that aftermarket part here because the original is too expensive". You don't follow those rules, you lose cert. Some countries are a bit loose here and then it can happen (and has) that the FAA prohibits their aircraft from coming into US air space. Rightfully so. Nope again. Yes various countries do attempt to control the quality (for want of a better word) of aircraft flying into their country but "after market" parts are not forbidden as innumerable different manufacturers make airplane parts. What does happen is that all aircraft parts must be approved - I think that they call it "type approved" for aircraft use - and as long as that is documented then there is no question that it can be used. My wife's older sister and her son, his wife, and the grand kids visited Thailand about six months ago. The grandson, probably 19 years old, told me that he worked part time at "the dollar store" unloading trucks for $10 an hour. The current minimum salary in Thailand is 300 baht, about $9 a day. At today's exchange rate the U.S. salary, for coolie labour, is ~9 times the Thai salary. Think international for a minute. That changes things. International? Isn't Thailand and California international enough for you? See links above. Local wages are much less relevant when you consider international transport of good. Because someone has to pay the various transport sections, equipment, maintenance, et cetera. Many years ago I was peripherally involved in aircraft maintenance in Miami, Fla. and in those years there were many South American airplanes flying into Miami and every one of them would do everything that they could not to have any maintenance performed in los Estados Unidos as it was too expensive. Sure. However, the maintenance in Brasil or other places does not come at an 80-90% discount. It comes at a 20-30% discount, maybe. To a large extent because the parts cost the same. No the parts do not cost the same. Boeing may sell them for a standard price but aircraft operators do not stock whole airplanes for spare parts. They usually buy from middlemen who charge whatever the market will bear. Again, there isn't a 5:1 to 10:1 ratio in this like there is in shipping charges. When I was in Indonesia we were approached by a group of Indonesian Airforce people to see if we could improve the maintenance on their helicopters. We approached the helicopter makers about parts prices and were referred to their S.E.A. representative who, in effect, told us to get lost as they already hade a very nice arrangement to sell parts to the Indonesian air force at prices much higher then they were selling to private helicopter companies in the region. It does not explain a 5-10x factor between US and Chinese shipping costs. There is more going on, way deeper than equipment-related. Firstly you are saying "shipping costs" which imply moving substantial amounts of freight, trans-oceanic, by air or sea which is determined primarily by supply and demand, when what you are talking about is sending mail, rates for which is determined by the government of the country in which the mail is posted. What you are really saying is that the U.S. mail system charges what might be termed as outrageously high rates while foreign countries charge more rational rates. I've already mentioned the cost of mailing a letter domestically. 2 baht (about 6 cents US) versus a U.S. cost of 49 cents - that is eight times more expensive. Rather than complain about the Chinese or other Asian mail rates you need to take a look at the U.S. costs. By the way, the Singapore postal service charges 30 cents Singapore (about 19 cents US) to mail a letter domestically, approximately 40% the cost of the U.S. and the Singapore Postal Service makes a profit. -- Cheers, John B. |
#69
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Buying and Selling
On Tue, 26 Sep 2017 07:28:36 -0700, Joerg
wrote: On 2017-09-25 19:40, John B. wrote: On Mon, 25 Sep 2017 12:42:43 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-25 08:03, AMuzi wrote: On 9/25/2017 9:06 AM, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-24 17:01, John B. wrote: 24 Sep Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-23 20:52, John B. wrote: 23 Sep Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-22 19:03, John B. wrote: 22 Sep Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-19 19:44, sms wrote: On 9/19/2017 6:52 PM, somebody wrote: On 2017-09-19 07:06, wrote: snip -snip snip- Hey! I was in the business of maintaining airplanes for my uncle for 20 years and the normal maintenance manpower for a fleet of airplanes was several hundred people. All of whom are five times cheaper in China, and the equipment, tools maintenance stands, buildings, all cheaper in China. Your uncle probably didn't fly Boeings or Airbuses internationally. Those companies require quite strict procedures or they will call off all bets. -more snip- USAF, Navy, Marines & SAC fly LOTS of miles/hours. (no Airbus hardware!) Which of them has their aircraft serviced by a low cost shop in China or elsewhere? Wrong again. In about 1967 there was a huge overhaul depot at Ching Chuan Kang Air Base (if I remember correctly) on Taiwan where hundreds of Chinese were busily overhauling F-4's. Sure they use local labor where they can. I grew up in Germany and the US forces did that there as well, I knew people who worked on the bases. That doesn't make the spare parts any cheaper. In fact, the operation of a military aircraft is usuall grossly more expensive than that of a similar civilian one, no matter which people you hire. What does the difference, in cost per hour flown, between civil and military have to do with your statement "Which of them has their aircraft serviced by a low cost shop in China or elsewhere?" Or my reply that "Wrong again. In about 1967 there was a huge overhaul depot at Ching Chuan Kang Air Base (if I remember correctly) on Taiwan where hundreds of Chinese were busily overhauling F-4's." -- Cheers, John B. |
#70
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Buying and Selling
On 2017-09-26 19:48, John B. wrote:
On Tue, 26 Sep 2017 07:28:36 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-25 19:40, John B. wrote: On Mon, 25 Sep 2017 12:42:43 -0700, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-25 08:03, AMuzi wrote: On 9/25/2017 9:06 AM, Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-24 17:01, John B. wrote: 24 Sep Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-23 20:52, John B. wrote: 23 Sep Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-22 19:03, John B. wrote: 22 Sep Joerg wrote: On 2017-09-19 19:44, sms wrote: On 9/19/2017 6:52 PM, somebody wrote: On 2017-09-19 07:06, wrote: snip -snip snip- Hey! I was in the business of maintaining airplanes for my uncle for 20 years and the normal maintenance manpower for a fleet of airplanes was several hundred people. All of whom are five times cheaper in China, and the equipment, tools maintenance stands, buildings, all cheaper in China. Your uncle probably didn't fly Boeings or Airbuses internationally. Those companies require quite strict procedures or they will call off all bets. -more snip- USAF, Navy, Marines & SAC fly LOTS of miles/hours. (no Airbus hardware!) Which of them has their aircraft serviced by a low cost shop in China or elsewhere? Wrong again. In about 1967 there was a huge overhaul depot at Ching Chuan Kang Air Base (if I remember correctly) on Taiwan where hundreds of Chinese were busily overhauling F-4's. Sure they use local labor where they can. I grew up in Germany and the US forces did that there as well, I knew people who worked on the bases. That doesn't make the spare parts any cheaper. In fact, the operation of a military aircraft is usuall grossly more expensive than that of a similar civilian one, no matter which people you hire. What does the difference, in cost per hour flown, between civil and military have to do with your statement "Which of them has their aircraft serviced by a low cost shop in China or elsewhere?" Or my reply that "Wrong again. In about 1967 there was a huge overhaul depot at Ching Chuan Kang Air Base (if I remember correctly) on Taiwan where hundreds of Chinese were busily overhauling F-4's." As I wrote the main cost is in the parts and require factory-prescribed service. Rolls-Royce or William will not give 80-90% discounts to the Chinese. Just as the kerosene refiners don't. -- Cheers, John B. -- Regards, Joerg http://www.analogconsultants.com/ |
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