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#1351
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700/23 vs 700/25 tires ?
John Forrest Tomlinson wrote:
And another guy - you - doesn't offer numbers except pulled out of the air, talks abour racing from a position of ignorance, and doesn't understand statistics*. And he yet calls for his opposistion to be more informative and more qualititative. SMS wrote: ?מה ×*שת×*×” הלילה ×”×–×” מכל הלילות why would this night be unlike any other? Did you mean 5 Mar here or 6 Mar in Australia? -- Andrew Muzi www.yellowjersey.org/ Open every day since 1 April, 1971 |
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#1352
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700/23 vs 700/25 tires ?
On Mar 6, 8:48*am, Tim McNamara wrote:
In article , *Bret wrote: On Mar 5, 7:31*pm, Tim McNamara wrote: In article , *Bret wrote: On Mar 4, 5:54*pm, Tim McNamara wrote: In article om, *Bret wrote: On Mar 3, 5:27*pm, Tim McNamara wrote: In article s.co m, *Bret wrote: If you have the physical ability Bingo. *The key to racing success. *That and tactics. I believe that there are key moments where the bike can make a difference. Frank dodged that part of my post. "Believe" being the operative word. *As Ben has pointed out very well, it can't be proven. Another example, in a mountain road race I once summited Wolf Creek pass, an eight mile climb, well down on the race leaders, but only 20 seconds down on a strong chase group that eventually rolled up everyone in front of them. It wouldn't have taken much of a difference for me to have been at the front of that race. It often seems like the guys who beat us do so by that 1% gap which we *ought* to be able to overcome with a lighter bike, or a little more training, etc. *It's often a self-delusion. *The guys who beat us ride just hard enough to beat us- there being no reason to ride harder than that- but might have 15% capacity left untapped while we are at 100%. This is not true in a photo finish situation. Both riders will be at 100% unless one has misjudge the finish. Which are rare except in professional cycling, and even then the winning rider may be at 101% of his competitor's capacity and have 10% of his own left in reserve. *Erik Zabel could outsprint me with one foot unclipped and keeping 50% of his reserve in a photo finish. I don't see any logic to what you are saying here. Nobody intentionally leaves a race finish that close. Ask Beppe. Unless someone is serving their ego, there's no reason to expend any more energy than necessary. *I've been in and seen plenty of races where the winner basically cruises home while everybody else is killing themselves. *Winning a crit by 30 seconds is not "more win" than winning it by 1 second. Stage racing where the GC is determined by time changes the calculus on that, of course. *But people racing for stage wins and people racing for GC have different strategies. You seem to have lost track of what we were talking about. A 1 second win is not very close in the context of this discussion. Bret |
#1353
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700/23 vs 700/25 tires ?
On Mar 6, 9:36*am, Tim McNamara wrote:
In article , *Bret wrote: On Mar 5, 7:18*pm, Tim McNamara wrote: Chance *is* 50/50 when there are only two possible outcomes. I won 50% of my races in 2005. The other guy was just lucky as I was clearly stronger. http://www.cyclesveloce.com/results_summary05.asp Very impressive, that was a very good year for you. *You were very clearly the strongest racer in your category by a whole lot. *I think in Merckx's best year he won 33% of the races he started, IIRC. What happened in the races you didn't win? *In your case, that might be a much more interesting question. The results are misleading. The best cross racer in my age group was racing down in the 35+ that year. The 2nd best was out with an extended illness. Both of those guys have won nationals. The sick guy would have easily beaten me in the MTB races too because I don't descend well. The closest race was at Stazio. I had to bridge to an attacking rider with 1K to go, then I decided to start the sprint early before we got swamped. I was nipped at the line (someone else) by less that 1" but fortunately for me, he got DQ'd for fouling someone earlier in the race. In the Wente RR I was unfamiliar with most of the NorCal riders. I did recognize Larry Nolan but when I tried to steal his wheel as we approached the finish, the current occupant punched me. I decided that the guy looked (and behaved) like a sprinter and would probably do just as well. But he lost Nolan's wheel just before the sprint and then when the long uphill sprint did start, he didn't even budge. I was boxed in and when I finally got out I was outside the top 20. I did manage to get up to 5th by the line. One of the 2nds at Mead was a two man break with a young (mid-30's) Cat 1 who only kept me around until the last lap to get what little help he could from me. The 4th place in a Boulder cyclocross involved two crashes, a flat tire and a trip to urgent care. The 8th at Boulder-Roubaix involved a flat tire. Other poor finishes in cross races involved asthma issues or simply not dialing in the course. Bret |
#1354
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700/23 vs 700/25 tires ?
On Mar 6, 10:34*am, Bret wrote:
On Mar 6, 8:02*am, Frank Krygowski wrote: On Mar 6, 6:37*am, John Forrest Tomlinson wrote... ... a reply that is much more logical and polite than he has been writing. *Thank you. On Thu, 5 Mar 2009 21:19:52 -0800 (PST), Frank Krygowski wrote: Then John, give aserious answer: *Did you not use drilled chainrings? Why not? I didn't. Beyond cost and the lack of ability to drill rings myself, I thought they would catch dirt *be more fragile. *Not good. Did you use Shimano AX brakes? *Why not? I didn't trust their braking but did like the levers -- the lack a cable looked good for comfort and possibly aerodynamics (though that's a very tricky thing to understand). *As soon as "aero" levers were easily available and I needed a new pair, I got them. Did you use an aero water bottle hanging from the front of your stem? *Why not - No. Cost. *Weight on the bars. *Need for standard bottle shapes. could you not use coat hangers and pliers too make up a bottle mount? Beyond issues above, no I could not. *Bottles have to be very secure on the bike and there is no way that would hold them securely enough. Or do you decide which 1% improvements are important just by what's fashionable? If I can get good info and the costs are reasonable, I choose it. *If a lot of people *who race with success are doing it, the's information. *You might think that's "fashion" but in the absense of harder data, it's also information. I agree, that is information. *But I disagree on whether it's information on much beyond fashion - at least, in many cases. Over the years we've seen fashions change for racers. *For *many, many years Campy rear derailleurs were firmly, strongly in fashion, when I couldn't afford them. *I was using a cheap Sun Tour rear changer. *And I recall watching guys on the expensive bikes grinding their way through shifts, missing some on the way, when my Sun Tour crisply did exactly what I told it to. *The difference in shifting was night and day. If you had gone by your standards, you'd conclude that Campy gave an advantage over cheap Sun Tour. *You'd have been wrong. And the reason you'd have been wrong is, partly, what I've been saying all along. *The few guys racing on Sun Tour had a shifting advantage. But that shifting advantage was negligible in the final outcome. Things like power, endurance, tactics, road roughness, looking at their watch at the wrong time, and other more important or more random events overpowered the Sun Tour's ability to shift more quickly and reliably. . . . OK, guys, we're throwing the bikes in the car and going on vacation. Carry on without me. - Frank Krygowski This is a misrepresentation of what happened at the time. Campy lost a lot of market share in the 80's due to poor shifting performance. Lots of people switched to Shimano D-A or Sun Tour Superbe once the overall group quality became competitive. Maybe. But probably not. Campagnolo lost out overall because they did not have a mountain group when mountain bikes became popular in the 1980s. They also did not have the ability (factories) to produce enough parts to fill all of the bikes being made. Shimano had a broad range of bicycle groups, big factories, parts to fit on every type of bike. Once they got in the door on every bike under the sun, it was easy to take away the road racing segment too. 90% of a company's bikes (child to adult) are supplied with Shimano and 10% with Campy. Easy for Shimano to start filling up that other 10%. You honestly think the factory part buyers gave a rats arse about shifting quality when they were talking to the corporate parts sellers to supply the million bikes they were going to produce the next year? Yeah right. They bought in bulk with discounts from a huge factory that could guarantee supply of bulk parts to fit on those millions of bikes. And if that company could supply road racing parts in additon to mountain bike parts and cheap kid bike parts, so much the better. Less contracts to work out. I used both in the mid-80's. Sun Tour failed to keep up with Shimano's SIS indexing system (and STI later) and that's when Shimano began to dominate. Campy was able to compete again on performance when the Sun Tour *patents expired and they executed well with their Ergo levers. Today I use SRAM because I think they have the best performance. Bret- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - |
#1355
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700/23 vs 700/25 tires ?
On Mar 6, 12:20*pm, "
wrote: On Mar 6, 10:34*am, Bret wrote: On Mar 6, 8:02*am, Frank Krygowski wrote: On Mar 6, 6:37*am, John Forrest Tomlinson wrote... ... a reply that is much more logical and polite than he has been writing. *Thank you. On Thu, 5 Mar 2009 21:19:52 -0800 (PST), Frank Krygowski wrote: Then John, give aserious answer: *Did you not use drilled chainrings? Why not? I didn't. Beyond cost and the lack of ability to drill rings myself, I thought they would catch dirt *be more fragile. *Not good. Did you use Shimano AX brakes? *Why not? I didn't trust their braking but did like the levers -- the lack a cable looked good for comfort and possibly aerodynamics (though that's a very tricky thing to understand). *As soon as "aero" levers were easily available and I needed a new pair, I got them. Did you use an aero water bottle hanging from the front of your stem? *Why not - No. Cost. *Weight on the bars. *Need for standard bottle shapes. could you not use coat hangers and pliers too make up a bottle mount? Beyond issues above, no I could not. *Bottles have to be very secure on the bike and there is no way that would hold them securely enough. Or do you decide which 1% improvements are important just by what's fashionable? If I can get good info and the costs are reasonable, I choose it. *If a lot of people *who race with success are doing it, the's information. *You might think that's "fashion" but in the absense of harder data, it's also information. I agree, that is information. *But I disagree on whether it's information on much beyond fashion - at least, in many cases. Over the years we've seen fashions change for racers. *For *many, many years Campy rear derailleurs were firmly, strongly in fashion, when I couldn't afford them. *I was using a cheap Sun Tour rear changer. *And I recall watching guys on the expensive bikes grinding their way through shifts, missing some on the way, when my Sun Tour crisply did exactly what I told it to. *The difference in shifting was night and day. If you had gone by your standards, you'd conclude that Campy gave an advantage over cheap Sun Tour. *You'd have been wrong. And the reason you'd have been wrong is, partly, what I've been saying all along. *The few guys racing on Sun Tour had a shifting advantage. But that shifting advantage was negligible in the final outcome. Things like power, endurance, tactics, road roughness, looking at their watch at the wrong time, and other more important or more random events overpowered the Sun Tour's ability to shift more quickly and reliably. . . . OK, guys, we're throwing the bikes in the car and going on vacation. Carry on without me. - Frank Krygowski This is a misrepresentation of what happened at the time. Campy lost a lot of market share in the 80's due to poor shifting performance. Lots of people switched to Shimano D-A or Sun Tour Superbe once the overall group quality became competitive. Maybe. *But probably not. *Campagnolo lost out overall because they did not have a mountain group when mountain bikes became popular in the 1980s. *They also did not have the ability (factories) to produce enough parts to fill all of the bikes being made. *Shimano had a broad range of bicycle groups, big factories, parts to fit on every type of bike. *Once they got in the door on every bike under the sun, it was easy to take away the road racing segment too. *90% of a company's bikes (child to adult) are supplied with Shimano and 10% with Campy. Easy for Shimano to start filling up that other 10%. You honestly think the factory part buyers gave a rats arse about shifting quality when they were talking to the corporate parts sellers to supply the million bikes they were going to produce the next year? Yeah right. *They bought in bulk with discounts from a huge factory that could guarantee supply of bulk parts to fit on those millions of bikes. *And if that company could supply road racing parts in additon to mountain bike parts and cheap kid bike parts, so much the better. Less contracts to work out. *I used both in the mid-80's. Sun Tour failed to keep up with Shimano's SIS indexing system (and STI later) and that's when Shimano began to dominate. Campy was able to compete again on performance when the Sun Tour *patents expired and they executed well with their Ergo levers. Today I use SRAM because I think they have the best performance. Bret- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - You're talking about OEM sales. I don't doubt what you say but that's not what we were talking about. Frank was saying that racers were choosing Campy in the 80's due to fashion. I say they were abandoning Campy and moving to D-A and Superbe for performance reasons. My bike in 1987 with Superbe: http://fischer-wade.net/Road%20Racin...des/road2.html Same bike in 1989 with D-A: http://fischer-wade.net/Road%20Racin...es/road_1.html Dia-Compe was a sponsor which accounts for the brakes/levers. They were really nice brakes. Bret |
#1356
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700/23 vs 700/25 tires ?
On Fri, 06 Mar 2009 11:24:43 GMT, John Forrest Tomlinson
wrote: On Thu, 05 Mar 2009 20:22:40 -0700, wrote: Dear John, Good heavens, more self-effacing modesty! Dear Cowardly Carl I'm especially not modest and I'm not especially immodest. But I'm fairly honest and open -- far more than you. I don't hide information about myself. You should try being more open. Dear John, Please, keep telling us more about yourself and your many virtues. You set a shining example for all of us, though perhaps not quite in the way that you imagine. Cheers, Carl Fogel |
#1357
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700/23 vs 700/25 tires ?
On Fri, 6 Mar 2009 07:02:29 -0800 (PST), Frank Krygowski
wrote: On Mar 6, 6:37*am, John Forrest Tomlinson wrote... ... a reply that is much more logical and polite than he has been writing. Thank you. On Thu, 5 Mar 2009 21:19:52 -0800 (PST), Frank Krygowski wrote: Then John, give aserious answer: *Did you not use drilled chainrings? Why not? I didn't. Beyond cost and the lack of ability to drill rings myself, I thought they would catch dirt *be more fragile. *Not good. Did you use Shimano AX brakes? *Why not? I didn't trust their braking but did like the levers -- the lack a cable looked good for comfort and possibly aerodynamics (though that's a very tricky thing to understand). *As soon as "aero" levers were easily available and I needed a new pair, I got them. Did you use an aero water bottle hanging from the front of your stem? *Why not - No. Cost. *Weight on the bars. *Need for standard bottle shapes. could you not use coat hangers and pliers too make up a bottle mount? Beyond issues above, no I could not. *Bottles have to be very secure on the bike and there is no way that would hold them securely enough. Or do you decide which 1% improvements are important just by what's fashionable? If I can get good info and the costs are reasonable, I choose it. *If a lot of people *who race with success are doing it, the's information. *You might think that's "fashion" but in the absense of harder data, it's also information. I agree, that is information. But I disagree on whether it's information on much beyond fashion - at least, in many cases. Over the years we've seen fashions change for racers. For many, many years Campy rear derailleurs were firmly, strongly in fashion, when I couldn't afford them. I was using a cheap Sun Tour rear changer. And I recall watching guys on the expensive bikes grinding their way through shifts, missing some on the way, when my Sun Tour crisply did exactly what I told it to. The difference in shifting was night and day. If you had gone by your standards, you'd conclude that Campy gave an advantage over cheap Sun Tour. You'd have been wrong. And the reason you'd have been wrong is, partly, what I've been saying all along. The few guys racing on Sun Tour had a shifting advantage. But that shifting advantage was negligible in the final outcome. Things like power, endurance, tactics, road roughness, looking at their watch at the wrong time, and other more important or more random events overpowered the Sun Tour's ability to shift more quickly and reliably. . . . OK, guys, we're throwing the bikes in the car and going on vacation. Carry on without me. - Frank Krygowski Dear Frank, Have a nice vacation! Cheers, Carl Fogel |
#1358
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700/23 vs 700/25 tires ?
On Mar 6, 12:49*pm, Bret wrote:
On Mar 6, 12:20*pm, " wrote: On Mar 6, 10:34*am, Bret wrote: On Mar 6, 8:02*am, Frank Krygowski wrote: On Mar 6, 6:37*am, John Forrest Tomlinson wrote... ... a reply that is much more logical and polite than he has been writing. *Thank you. On Thu, 5 Mar 2009 21:19:52 -0800 (PST), Frank Krygowski wrote: Then John, give aserious answer: *Did you not use drilled chainrings? Why not? I didn't. Beyond cost and the lack of ability to drill rings myself, I thought they would catch dirt *be more fragile. *Not good. Did you use Shimano AX brakes? *Why not? I didn't trust their braking but did like the levers -- the lack a cable looked good for comfort and possibly aerodynamics (though that's a very tricky thing to understand). *As soon as "aero" levers were easily available and I needed a new pair, I got them. Did you use an aero water bottle hanging from the front of your stem? *Why not - No. Cost. *Weight on the bars. *Need for standard bottle shapes. could you not use coat hangers and pliers too make up a bottle mount? Beyond issues above, no I could not. *Bottles have to be very secure on the bike and there is no way that would hold them securely enough. Or do you decide which 1% improvements are important just by what's fashionable? If I can get good info and the costs are reasonable, I choose it. *If a lot of people *who race with success are doing it, the's information. *You might think that's "fashion" but in the absense of harder data, it's also information. I agree, that is information. *But I disagree on whether it's information on much beyond fashion - at least, in many cases. Over the years we've seen fashions change for racers. *For *many, many years Campy rear derailleurs were firmly, strongly in fashion, when I couldn't afford them. *I was using a cheap Sun Tour rear changer. *And I recall watching guys on the expensive bikes grinding their way through shifts, missing some on the way, when my Sun Tour crisply did exactly what I told it to. *The difference in shifting was night and day. If you had gone by your standards, you'd conclude that Campy gave an advantage over cheap Sun Tour. *You'd have been wrong. And the reason you'd have been wrong is, partly, what I've been saying all along. *The few guys racing on Sun Tour had a shifting advantage. But that shifting advantage was negligible in the final outcome. Things like power, endurance, tactics, road roughness, looking at their watch at the wrong time, and other more important or more random events overpowered the Sun Tour's ability to shift more quickly and reliably. . . . OK, guys, we're throwing the bikes in the car and going on vacation.. Carry on without me. - Frank Krygowski This is a misrepresentation of what happened at the time. Campy lost a lot of market share in the 80's due to poor shifting performance. Lots of people switched to Shimano D-A or Sun Tour Superbe once the overall group quality became competitive. Maybe. *But probably not. *Campagnolo lost out overall because they did not have a mountain group when mountain bikes became popular in the 1980s. *They also did not have the ability (factories) to produce enough parts to fill all of the bikes being made. *Shimano had a broad range of bicycle groups, big factories, parts to fit on every type of bike. *Once they got in the door on every bike under the sun, it was easy to take away the road racing segment too. *90% of a company's bikes (child to adult) are supplied with Shimano and 10% with Campy. Easy for Shimano to start filling up that other 10%. You honestly think the factory part buyers gave a rats arse about shifting quality when they were talking to the corporate parts sellers to supply the million bikes they were going to produce the next year? Yeah right. *They bought in bulk with discounts from a huge factory that could guarantee supply of bulk parts to fit on those millions of bikes. *And if that company could supply road racing parts in additon to mountain bike parts and cheap kid bike parts, so much the better. Less contracts to work out. *I used both in the mid-80's. Sun Tour failed to keep up with Shimano's SIS indexing system (and STI later) and that's when Shimano began to dominate. Campy was able to compete again on performance when the Sun Tour *patents expired and they executed well with their Ergo levers. Today I use SRAM because I think they have the best performance. Bret- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - You're talking about OEM sales. I don't doubt what you say but that's not what we were talking about. Frank was saying that racers were choosing Campy in the 80's due to fashion. I say they were abandoning Campy and moving to D-A and Superbe for performance reasons. My bike in 1987 with Superbe:http://fischer-wade.net/Road%20Racin...des/road2.html Same bike in 1989 with D-A:http://fischer-wade.net/Road%20Racin...es/road_1.html Dia-Compe was a sponsor which accounts for the brakes/levers. They were really nice brakes. Bret Now that I think about it. That second picture is from a hillclimb TT (Cat 3 Killington Prologue) where I won by 1 sec in a race that lasted slightly under eight minutes. That's a .2% margin. If I had carried a water bottle I probably wouldn't have won. Bret |
#1359
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700/23 vs 700/25 tires ?
On Mar 6, 12:24*pm, wrote:
On Fri, 6 Mar 2009 07:02:29 -0800 (PST), Frank Krygowski snip And the reason you'd have been wrong is, partly, what I've been saying all along. snip . . . OK, guys, we're throwing the bikes in the car and going on vacation. Carry on without me. - Frank Krygowski Dear Frank, Have a nice vacation! Cheers, Carl Fogel May you have sunshine, and a gentle breeze at your back :-) |
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