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Reports from Sweden



 
 
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  #11  
Old October 12th 03, 03:52 PM
Mitch Haley
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Default Reports from Sweden

Garry Jones wrote:

Well, I know of no case where this has come up. On a similar note, I
believe some countries have exemptions from the seat belt law if the car
was made before a cetain date.


I'm pretty sure my state's seat belt law (Michigan, USA) exempts vehicles
which were not required to have belts when new (roughly 40 years old IIRC).

Mitch.
Ads
  #12  
Old October 13th 03, 12:49 AM
Garry Jones
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Default Reports from Sweden

Thanks for the feedback Dorre.

I need some more info to meet claims being made in swnet.sport.cykel

Some of the helmet links I have quoted were reruns from old postings and
turned out to be dead links.

I am missing the information that used to be behind these links

http://members.iinet.net.au/~propert...e_helmets.html

Helmet FAQ
http://www.globalx.net/ocbc/hfaq.html

Can you post an updated useful link list with helmet stats. Include the
new links to the above two sites if they are still up.

I have been challenged on several points in particular

1)
"In New Zealand, helmet legislation has led to a 19% reduction in head
injuries among bicyclist of all age groups in its first 3 years."
http://bmj.bmjjournals.com/cgi/elett...97/1505/a#9629

2)
"Nine years on, however, cycling is more popular in Victoria than it was
before 1990."
http://bmj.bmjjournals.com/cgi/elett...97/1505/a#3416

3)
Stats from Victoria are said to show that the ammount of hours cycled
increased constantly between 1988 and 1992. The number of adults cycling
is said to be the same two years after the law. It is claimed that the
reduction in cycling is mainly in youths and that this is due to a drop
in age requirement for driving licenses.

My own question here is that I wonder if there is any connection in
injuries to cyclists and age requirement for driving licences. Are
younger drivers more likely to hit cyclists?

Any feedback or clarification on points 1-3?

Anyone else with any input? Links? Thanks

Garry Jones
English Cyclist ResIDING in Sweden.
  #13  
Old October 13th 03, 01:32 AM
Mitch Haley
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Default Reports from Sweden

Garry Jones wrote:

Helmet FAQ
http://www.globalx.net/ocbc/hfaq.html


I believe that's an old link to Avery's FAQ:
http://www.magma.ca/~ocbc/hfaq.html
  #14  
Old October 13th 03, 04:41 PM
Garry Jones
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Posts: n/a
Default Reports from Sweden

Dorre wrote:

The 45% fall in cyclist fatalities in Victoria, Australia, is probably true.


The Swedish report quotes several of your reports in its source list.

Dorre, it is ironic that some of your findings in this Swedish packaging
are being used to argue for a mandatory helmet law. It's not what they
say, it what's they leave out that is important here. Remember the
report concluded that

"Several studies show that helmet laws reduce head injuries among
bicyclists. In Australia, for instance, number of fatalities among
cyclists decreased by 45 % in average two years after their helmet laws
compared to two years before. The effect of cycle helmet laws on cycling
is much debated, but results from studies are not unambiguous. Several
studies, however, indicates that a cycle helmet law may result in a
reduction in cycling by young people and in a certain, but temporary,
reduction in cycling by younger children. On the other hand, cycling by
adults is probably not influenced."

Their research behind this is prolific. The research list names 229
sources. When politicians and helmet campaigners want the result of the
study they just read the conclusion. But in arriving at these most two
important points of this conclusion the authours have.. A)..not
mentioned the statistics you have that prove the 45% was out of
proportion to what one would have expected due to other factors. B)
Claimed that cycling by adults is probably not influenced even though
the statistics point to the contary.

So where do we go from here? Would you be able to engage in an email
dialogue with the authors about their findings?

Dorre, here is the resource list they used. You will find yourself here
as well as many of the other reports that have circulated these last ten
years.

*****************
Research Source List
*****************

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Adams, J & Hillman, M: The risk compensation theory and bicycle helmets.
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Ainsworth, RA: Report on compulsory helmet wearing for bicyclists, and
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Ajzen, I: The theory of planned behavior. Organizational behaviour and
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Attewell, RG, Glase, K & McFadden, M: Bicycle helmet efficacy: a
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1993. Arbejdsnotat Rådet for Trafiksikkerhedsforskning. Gentofte. 1993.

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1987, 25 s. 1987.

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*********************
End Research Source List
*********************

Source:
http://www.vti.se/info/rapporter/edetalj.asp?RecID=2716
PDF Pages 86-99 (Numbered 83-96)


Garry Jones
English Cyclist ResIDING in Sweden
  #15  
Old October 14th 03, 12:10 AM
Fredrik Jonson
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default Reports from Sweden

In Garry Jones wrote:

Dorre, it is ironic that some of your findings in this Swedish
packaging are being used to argue for a mandatory helmet law.


Or could it simply be that the data is inconclusive, and that
either opinion could be argued to some extent with those numbers?

For those that don't know, I'm the opposition Garry has been
running into in the swedish groups. =)

I have been doing a bit of research myself, and disregarding all
the inconclusive "facts" that can be found everywhere on the net,
I have also found references to something that is called "The
helmet wars". Aparantly, I have unknowingly placed my foot in one
of usenet's old wasps' nests. That is not what I intended.

But let me just add that the Swedish research report written by
VTI and the University of Linköping, a litterature study which
explains the 290 references, should probably not be disregarded as
partisan. The summary may sound partisan towards helmet laws, but
inside the report (in swedish) different possible interpretations
of the data is discussed quite thoroughly. As is expected in a
scientific report before any swedish university would put their
name on it.

--
Fredrik Jonson
"There are Lies, Damn Lies, and Statistics."
  #16  
Old October 14th 03, 09:41 AM
Garry Jones
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default Reports from Sweden

Fredrik Jonson wrote:

The summary may sound partisan towards helmet laws, but inside the report (in swedish) different possible interpretations of the data is discussed quite thoroughly.


True. Other explanations of these findings are discussed, but throughout
the report the language used is tilted towards the mandatory helmet law.
Several sources of data are discussed out of context.

And, at 95 pages, the politicians and law makers are only going to read
the summary.

The single page summary says...

1)
In Australia, for instance, the number of fatalities among cyclists
decreased by 45 per cent in average two years after their helmet laws
compared to two years before.

2)
The effect of cycle helmet laws on cycling is much debated, but results
from studies are not unambiguous. Several studies, however, indicate
that a cycle helmet law may result in a reduction in cycling by young
people and in certain, but temporary, reduction in cycling by younger
children. On the other hand, cycling by adults is probably no
influenced.

As Dorre explained these two claims are seriously flawed.

Garry Jones
  #17  
Old October 14th 03, 05:23 PM
Garry Jones
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default Reports from Sweden

Dorre wrote:

The 45% fall in cyclist fatalities in Victoria, Australia, is probably true.


The Swedish report quotes several of your reports in its source list.

Dorre, it is ironic that some of your findings in this Swedish packaging
are being used to argue for a mandatory helmet law. It's not what they
say, it what's they leave out that is important here. Remember the
report concluded that

"Several studies show that helmet laws reduce head injuries among
bicyclists. In Australia, for instance, number of fatalities among
cyclists decreased by 45 % in average two years after their helmet laws
compared to two years before. The effect of cycle helmet laws on cycling
is much debated, but results from studies are not unambiguous. Several
studies, however, indicates that a cycle helmet law may result in a
reduction in cycling by young people and in a certain, but temporary,
reduction in cycling by younger children. On the other hand, cycling by
adults is probably not influenced."

Their research behind this is prolific. The research list names 229
sources. When politicians and helmet campaigners want the result of the
study they just read the conclusion. But in arriving at these most two
important points of this conclusion the authours have.. A)..not
mentioned the statistics you have that prove the 45% was out of
proportion to what one would have expected due to other factors. B)
Claimed that cycling by adults is probably not influenced even though
the statistics point to the contary.

So where do we go from here? Would you be able to engage in an email
dialogue with the authors about their findings?

Dorre, here is the resource list they used. You will find yourself here
as well as many of the other reports that have circulated these last ten
years.

*****************
Research Source List
*****************

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Adams, J & Hillman, M: The risk compensation theory and bicycle helmets.
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*********************
End Research Source List
*********************

Source:
http://www.vti.se/info/rapporter/edetalj.asp?RecID=2716
PDF Pages 86-99 (Numbered 83-96)


Garry Jones
English Cyclist ResIDING in Sweden
  #18  
Old October 14th 03, 05:23 PM
Garry Jones
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default Reports from Sweden

Dorre wrote:

The 45% fall in cyclist fatalities in Victoria, Australia, is probably true.


The Swedish report quotes several of your reports in its source list.

Dorre, it is ironic that some of your findings in this Swedish packaging
are being used to argue for a mandatory helmet law. It's not what they
say, it what's they leave out that is important here. Remember the
report concluded that

"Several studies show that helmet laws reduce head injuries among
bicyclists. In Australia, for instance, number of fatalities among
cyclists decreased by 45 % in average two years after their helmet laws
compared to two years before. The effect of cycle helmet laws on cycling
is much debated, but results from studies are not unambiguous. Several
studies, however, indicates that a cycle helmet law may result in a
reduction in cycling by young people and in a certain, but temporary,
reduction in cycling by younger children. On the other hand, cycling by
adults is probably not influenced."

Their research behind this is prolific. The research list names 229
sources. When politicians and helmet campaigners want the result of the
study they just read the conclusion. But in arriving at these most two
important points of this conclusion the authours have.. A)..not
mentioned the statistics you have that prove the 45% was out of
proportion to what one would have expected due to other factors. B)
Claimed that cycling by adults is probably not influenced even though
the statistics point to the contary.

So where do we go from here? Would you be able to engage in an email
dialogue with the authors about their findings?

Dorre, here is the resource list they used. You will find yourself here
as well as many of the other reports that have circulated these last ten
years.

*****************
Research Source List
*****************

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*********************
End Research Source List
*********************

Source:
http://www.vti.se/info/rapporter/edetalj.asp?RecID=2716
PDF Pages 86-99 (Numbered 83-96)


Garry Jones
English Cyclist ResIDING in Sweden
 




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